Am I the only one with an uneasy feeling about all these advancements?
Are we going fast or is it just because of the buzz? I have a hard time separating the two.
It’s very exiting and I want to keep being exited. I don’t want to become terrified.
Are we going fast or is it just because of the buzz? I have a hard time separating the two.
It’s very exiting and I want to keep being exited. I don’t want to become terrified.
What are we to do, then? No snark, honest question.
Earth's history, sure. Humanity's history though? Living during the Apollo program is clearly more interesting than living in a period of relative stasis. Living during the AGI revolution could be more interesting still, we'll have to see.
We are going too fast. Have been for years. This is just the first clear indication.
Braking is fatal, but some seem pretty hell-bent.
Deceleration is complicated, and it seems highly unlikely that there would be sufficient consensus for true deceleration. Local deceleration is simply waiting for the acceleration occurring somewhere else to overcome your efforts.
The math hasn’t really changed for most individuals. At some point something big will happen.
Singularity.
Be excited and put your efforts towards what you value. One way or another, there is very little time left for wasting.
Singularity is a belief system, it has very little to do with AI.
edit: I also think if we would ever get to a point where AI gets close to a point of possibly getting out of control as you imply it would simply be banned in the US/Canada/EU/Australia. Furthermore Latin America and Africa could and would be pressured to go along if needed. Which leaves some parts of Asia. China, maybe India and Russia. Probably only China. It could be cut off from the Internet if needed. We could build up a wall just like in the Cold War. My point being: This will not happen just because it happens. It will be a choice.
It will use every tool you give it to reach the goal you give him. It will try forever if needed.
I bet state actor are already plugging in tooling to register social account and automate credible propaganda. Maybe not with gpt itself, but privately hosted fine tuned models.
This can win elections.
You can plug wordpress and build infinite blogs with infinite post with the unique scope of building mass around a topic.
This can alter Wikipedia, many people don't ever check sources and take it at face value.
You can not only build fake research paper, but fake the whole research team and their whole interactions with the community and investor.
This can fraud millions.
Tools enable this today.
This simply exposes all of the cracks in the foundations of our society. There are severely exploitable issues, and we may wind up with a planet-level chaos monkey.
Ghostbusters had the stay-puft marshmallow man. Will the form of our destroyer be the woot monkey?
We're dealing with a very nascent AI revolution right now. A social phase transition has already started: on the forefront there are graphic artists (midjourney v5 is literally revolutionizing the industry as we speak) and NLP researchers (GPT-4 has reduced the need for applied NLP to basically zero), but it's only a start. The cheapness and availability changes everything.
The industry was a joke prior to this. No offense.
Humanity has been going too fast for a long time.
Tell me about this singularity belief system. I simply meant something stronger than an inflection point, closer to the mathematical sense than what you must be assuming, but that word must mean something more for you.
This needs to be the foundation
Someone born in 1985 who is now 37-38 was brought into a world where the internet barely existed, and was barely an adult when the iPhone launched. There’s still a lot more that can happen.
Don’t listen to pessimists: the world will look very different, but we apes have a way of adapting.
I'm pretty sure this is not obvious.
Not if, but when, we get around to AI law enforcement with lethal weapons, it's over. There's no going back from that.
Also they dont need to raise and feed an army if AI powered drones are able to do the same job. When AI is able to replace jobs en masse its pretty transparent to expect AI armies to be built en masse as well.
bake cookies just like the nice old grandma does for the local teenage gangs. its a survival mechanism so that nobody messes with you.
This needs to be the foundation
I believe my uneasiness stems from the unknown potential of this technology.
Now, one could argue that that’s always the case for technology, so why do I feel uneasy now?
I believe that this particular type of technology has a very large potential. I think most HN readers would agree.
But I am not scared, yet. I’ll be scared when I know the technology will do serious damage, until then it’s an uneasy feeling. Then I’ll probably be terrified.