The physical labor jobs are only a few years behind due to the ramp-up required in manufacturing for robotics - and price points. But the embodied AIs are coming, in humanoid form, to take all the labor jobs as well.
The idea that a robotic solution to "crawling around in a basement and bodging pipes together" is anywhere near happening is frankly laughable. Further, with the current hot AI paradigm being LLMs, it's not even clear how these (very impressive) advancements would get us closer to robotic replacement of the trades.
Edit: Aren't we discounting the computer power that will be required to have a robot computing and reacting to what will be dozens of inputs all in real time in a mobile bundle?
* https://www.wired.com/story/alphabet-layoffs-hit-trash-sorti...