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Except Watson and Alpha weren’t useful out of the box to everyone. They weren’t the fastest growing app of all time and couldn’t even remotely play that way. ChatGPT isn’t hype because it is so useful — it’s already on the “Plateau of Productivity”.

But it looks like an exponentially steep climb from here. indefinitely

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They said the same thing about transistor scaling

Being that you and I are talking to each other by forming thoughts in meat that us causing other meat to move around tells me that digital thought still has a lot of scaling room ahead of it.

Maybe superintelligence isn't possible for some reason, but the fact we exist should tell you that general intelligence is not magic.

Your brain is analog. Trying to emulate this with a digital computer is bound to come with some computational cost.

The world created by human thought has given us such excess means of power production that we have literal gigawatts of electricity we can use in a trade off where it doesn't take us 4 billion years to make efficient circuits.

Good thing we aren’t trying, then. GPT works in a completely different fashion.

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