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I am willing to bet $100 this thing never becomes mainstream based on my 2 decade software dev experience.

Bah, that's too easy. You can say that about 100% of all projects that hit HN and you'll be right 90% (or more) of the time.

Save your comment for when you believe the opposite (that something for sure will become mainstream), that's when it gets interesting.

Like Atom after VS Code

Atom was introduced prior to VS Code. VS Code reuses electron as a framework, which was written for Atom (originally called electron shell).

I've tried it out of curiosity and it's extremely unstable so far. Barely runs on my Linux box and couldn't get it to run without crashing on Windows.

Lapce, which is written in rust, is using Druid, which is discontinued.

They're using their own fork: https://github.com/lapce/lapce/issues/2177

No wonder my Rust GUIs have long-standing display bugs, e.g. Neovide (neovim GUI frontend), Psst (Spotify GUI client)