You need a large percentage of the population to have 3-4 kids to be a sustainable country.
You need a large percentage of the population to have 3-4 kids to be a sustainable country.
Explain the causal effect especially apropos small boat arrivals behind this apparently inevitable gravitational force
You can’t have both negative population growth and 300,000+ people leaving the country every year for very long without massive issues. And those massive issues are going to push even more people to leave resulting in even more issues. Which would effectively force the country to promote immigration even if it doesn’t want immigrants the UK needs them.
Alternatively, if the population growth rate was positive then the country wouldn’t have nearly the need for immigrants to be stable.
What's worse is that, those leaving presumably are capable of making it in "better" economies. So in pure GDP-per capita-producing terms, you just exchanged some natives for worse performers.
That's what happens when you're not in the top of the totem of the immigration market.
It’s fairly common globally for immigrants to then move to another country. But that’s been especially true in the EU.
According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), in the year ending June 2020, an estimated 673,000 people emigrated from the UK. This includes both UK-born and non-UK-born individuals. Of the total emigrants, approximately 316,000 (47%) were UK-born, and approximately 357,000 (53%) were non-UK-born. The non-UK-born emigrants included both non-British citizens and British citizens who were born outside the UK.
So it's almost 50/50. Looks actually worse than I'd imagined.The 2019 breakdown was 397k emigrants of which 131k where British, 151k EU, and 115k non-EU.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populati...
It’s going to be interesting to see how things settle down in a post Brexit and COVID UK.