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Comment by netsharc | Hacker News Reader

What will probably happen next/Free playbook for Recep: claim the videos are deepfaked and fake news, and ban their publication, and jail anyone who claims he ever said those things. The goal is to minimize the spread of this information before the election.

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His first worry after the earthquake was to slow down Twitter instead mobilizing the army to get people out of the wreckage.

The people from the region affected by the earthquake represent an important percentage of his voter base.

Erdo, and AK ratings have tanked so hard already that there is no chance he will be winning anywhere fairly at all.

Now, the question is whether will he go for electoral fraud, or leave his post knowing for sure that a jail term awaits him.

My understanding is that a significant amount of Edrogan's support actually comes from foreign-resident voters - either expat Turks or people with dual citizenship. There are e.g. British and Germans with Turkish citizenship who don't have to deal with the fallout of voting for him, but love his rhetoric and persona.

Jail could be the least of his worries if he loses upcoming elections. If he's about to lose his best option is to flee the country.

Knowing the people there; I'd be surprised if he didn't come even stronger after all this.

“Only I know how to fix such a corrupt system as I’ve seen it from the inside”

Or put blame on external actors as usual.

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