The question that I have is: why are all these big corporations doing synchronized layoffs? Is it about having more people than needed or is it pure greed and expectations that they can easily get away with it because "everyone is doing it"?
The question that I have is: why are all these big corporations doing synchronized layoffs? Is it about having more people than needed or is it pure greed and expectations that they can easily get away with it because "everyone is doing it"?
Tech company growth rates were high during the pandemic so they hired to fuel that growth. Now that growth rates are lower, they have to re-balance their cost structure to match their new forecasted growth. This is happening at every company currently doing layoffs. In Twilio's case, they went from almost 70% year over year growth during the pandemic to currently about 20-30% year over year growth. The same evaporating growth rates is true across the tech industry - Meta is actually seeing revenue decline year over year, Google has seen growth shrink to just 1%. Even more telling are operating margins which are evaporating very quickly as growth stalls - Google's operating margins are down 17% year over year.
No one has a crystal ball, so companies hire during high growth periods to capitalize on growth, and lay off during low growth periods to re-balance their cost structure towards profit. This is true of many industries - you see the same effects play out in the boom and bust cycle of industries like O&G - which are currently hiring and not too long ago were laying off as well. People want to frame lay offs as de facto failure, but really it is just companies responding to market conditions - no different then companies hiring when growth is high.
I predicted there would be mass layoffs in tech right like this last year, and more specifically predicted 6 months ago that we'd be seeing basically what we're seeing as far as layoffs.
With rising rates investors are asking companies to show a clear path towards profitability. Most of these companies are losing more money each quarter and industry wide this has to stop.
For the larger profitable companies it's likely because they realize a huge amount of their revenue is coming from these companies that don't make money.
While I'll be the first to criticize companies for working to remove power from workers, what we're seeing is simply investors waking up to the economic reality that growth without profits is not sustainable.
What do you predict is the resolution to this dillema?