Hacker News Reader

> If it was obvious, then the market would have priced it in.

Bubbles don’t exist? I’m sorry, but to paraphrase an old quote, the market’s can remain irrational, longer than your faith in a rational market.

View on HN

I think that's a different question then if it's obvious.

I don't really understand the obvious claim. If it was obvious to investors and executives then what? They knowingly spent money they knew was a waste?

It's not that complicated -- it was obvious to some people, and not obvious to others. Clearly then, the wrong people were in charge.

I wonder if for those who it was very obvious for "put their money where their mouths were" and bought a set of securities that would make them a ton of money on what was obvious when the obvious materializes in real life.

then, with that ton of money, they could buy enough shares to influence the board to implement their agenda.

in theory, this would quantify the definition of "obvious".

OK, I guess it is just a communication issue around the what obvious means. If obvious simply means somebody somewhere knows, then sure.

Yeah, markets can be irrational, and markets know it, and play crazy games over themselves.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com