I'm not advocating for this, just describing what I see as the most likely scenario.
I'm not advocating for this, just describing what I see as the most likely scenario.
I don’t think the movie’s caste system is realistic, because the role of genes isn’t that deterministic. There would be too many exceptions like Ethan Hawke and Jude Law’s characters.
When your entire society is structured around covertly filtering out people with the wrong genes, you end up with a self-fulfilling prophecy. Natural-born people can't succeed because they've been predicted they won't succeed, and engineered people succeed because they've been predicted they will succeed. I'm not even saying this happens because someone wants it to happen like this to maintain the status quo. It can happen because your peers push you in a direction that aligns with society.
Also, if you think about it, the movie never directly states that engineered people are actually "better". Sure, they're on average taller, with perfect eyesight, and with the lowest chance of developing certain conditions, but they're not necessarily smarter or stronger; they're just as smart or as strong as they could have been given their parents. The space program was filled with "the best", but we don't actually know if it would have operated worse with a mixer personnel, that's just what the administration believed.
Also all of human history is essentially different castes deciding they are better and society adapting to it.
For example, if you are prone to heart disease and have been hired as a airline pilot, would your company be negligent if they could have required a simple test to find this out? Although this is a contrived example, the list of such situations could be endless and doubtless over time you will be asked again and again to submit to a genetic screen in the future. (in the same way that as an American you don't have to give out your social security number, but if you want to access to a credit card or a bank account you sort of have to).
Will this lead to people be denied access to certain activities due to their genetics - absolutely. I'm not laying out a moral judgement here, just that this future is almost a certainty.
Worst case would be that the world splits into countries with exclusively natural born and genetically engineered people and that those countries would enter into conflict with the goal of driving the other extinct.