This was a common statement during the dot com boom and that was... 10 years ago

Except that in 10 years, cars that can parallel park themselves will be 18 years old, and there will probably be drivers who have never parallel parked for themselves. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intelligent_Parking_Assist_Syst...)

Sadly, I think that's just as accurate now as it was 10 years ago.

Someone a long time ago, possible H.G. Wells, said "Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write". He was right. This would suggest that most citizenship is effected inefficiently.

I suspect in 10 years at least, things will go similarly for programming. But maybe in 30,40,50 years; better diets,better environments, nutritional junk food, better education, designer children, gene therapy, drugs, implants, whatever will push mean IQ out of its current local maximum.

now, that's total inanity.

Half the population is below IQ 100 (in America and Europe). For these people, learning basic algebra is like pulling teeth. Coding? Forget about it.