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And it's not just about the value of the Bitcoin they purchased. They also have presumably increased tourism and interest in their country at least some (their name is in the news more, and I know for a fact that Bitcoin fanatics have visited specifically because of this).

'Maybe' is too unpredictable for most sophisticated systems.

Certainty, or at least a level of high confidence, is when businesses invest and consumers spend.

It really doesn’t depend on the long term position. They could buy the same amount of Bitcoin now for 60% less. They have lost that money.