Why do you think ChatGPT will effect employment for programmers? If ChatGPT makes a few more major leaps forward it might be able to make me more productive (it is not even close currently for my work), I don’t see how current AI models will ever be able to replace my job.

If it improves an order of magnitude it might be able to make me more productive and I will be able to charge more for my time.

I wouldn’t even begin to know how to ask ChatGPT to help me with some of the more complex problems I am dealing with on a day to day basis. As far as I understand these models don’t build up any understand and even their memory is an illusion, previous conversations is just reevaluated with every new question. I assume this limits the complexity of what it can do, and does not seem scalable to me.

I see it being helpful in generating function names etc, perhaps adding more context to autocompletion tools for better suggestions, better front-end to Google so search becomes more efficient. And hopefully it helps me write the boilerplate in every email.

I honestly hopes it improves a lot, I see only benefits for our jobs. But currently not ready for serious work. Although a very impressive feat of engineering.