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Are you picturing a world where companies are still making mostly the same kind of products as today, just with robots instead of people?

The change AI brings could be lot more fundamental than that. What that means for jobs though, is really hard to predict.

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I'm picturing a curve of increasing steepness that we'll all inevitably fall off of eventually, but where the marginal utility of hanging on for one more cycle increases.

Is it that hard to predict? In case of AGI, humanity is likely to go extinct - we already live a perilous existence on this dot. Jobs will be the least of our worries.

it's possible we'll be able to blow up the AGI before it's finished with us. Maybe the best possible world is one where an early AGI destroys a huge amount of capital and ruins the reputation of its successors so they're never turned on.

I meant this decade or so.

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