Seagate now offer only one year warranties on some HDD's
techpowerup.com
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Every single drive failed within the warranty period; I RMAed them and got replacements. Every single replacement drive failed too. I RMAed a couple of them, and their REPLACEMENTS have now failed. I believe that's a 233% failure rate, and it would probably have been higher if I hadn't given up and just bought new (non-Seagate) drives. And before you ask - all drives were used normally in desktop machines, and they were kept cool[1].
I have no idea how widespread my experience was, but I've heard rumours of very high failure rates in some models of their 1TB drives. If so, I can understand them wanting to protect themselves from a repeat in the future.
[1]: http://www.codinghorror.com/blog/2006/12/hard-drive-temperat...
One industry-standard term you might consider is "mean time between failures" or "mean time to failure".
Seagate is now using "Annualized Failure Rate" on their drives which is MTBF evaluated for the expected number of power on hours in a year (the first year).
The Barracuda Green series gets the new one year warrantee, but boasts a 0.34% AFR in Seagate's specifications. That is on the order of only 1 drive in 100 failing over a 2 year period. Who in their right mind would cut their warrantee to one year if this was really the case?
MBTF may have been perverted by PR and marketing departments, but as a mathematical concept it is perfectly sound and indeed the ideal measure for failure rates. The solution isn't to make up a misleading statistic and label it as the new "easier to understand metric," while in reality most home users would feel royally screwed if their drive(s) failed within say 3 years of purchase. The solution is to stick to math and statistics and use mathematically-accepted derivations of MBTF that are rigorously upheld and pinned to an honest metric.
I can't source the article, but seem to recall is was google related with the data coming from their experience with drives in their data centers. It possibly could have come from BackBlaze, though that is a distant second.
I used to run a small ISP, and found that I had a 10% failure rate on average of anything, before it was even used. Order 100 new servers, 10 will be dead on arrival. Order 1000 drives, 100 will be DOA. 100 network cables, all will work, that was about the only deviation.
With drives, the failure rates were better, however, I never allowed drives to be put into use that were not internally "certified". I would use SoftRAID, which is a Macintosh application, though I am sure there are equivalent on Linux and Windows. While this is nothing more than software RAID for the Mac, many of my servers were not Macintosh. I didn't use the RAID capacity of the software, rather using the drive certification feature instead. It takes about 8 hours per 1TB drive to "certify" it. This will run through every sector on the drive, and make sure it is ok. The softwares ability to "predict" that a drive was about to fail, or susceptible to failure, was very good. I would never use a drive that didn't pass.
One handy feature which I did run on non servers with the software, is that it can monitor the drive and tell me that is suspects failure to be imminent. This is not SMART, though SMART was a first line test, the software went deeper and logged aspects of the drive over time.
Once I started doing this, drive failure went to near nothing. I can't really measure failure in percentage or time, as we would outgrow the capacity of the drive, or the server would be taken out of commission for a faster server before a failure ever happened. Those drives were then given to friends or sold. As a result, we never had an in use failure once we started using this method of testing. 42U worth of server space, with a mix of 1U, 2U, 4U, and a few 6U NAS's, plus switching gear.
Do keep in mind, we were a small local ISP, and could take the time to perform these tests. Someone like BackBlaze has their system created in a way to deal with failure as part of the operation, and it would be a waste of time to perform these tests.
The important result from Google's and others'[2] research is that lifespan for particular drive models is essentially bimodal, with the first peak during the first couple of months - strongly correlated with manufacturing batch, not just make/model - and the second peak after 3+ years due to age related causes. It's possible that people who experience entire arrays of drives failing within the first few months of use have chosen a particular batch of drives that suffer from high 'infant mortality'. One recommendation is to build arrays from drives with different manufacturing batch number or - if the RAID implementation allows it - use completely different makes and models.
[1] http://research.google.com/archive/disk_failures.pdf [2] http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/freeabs_all.jsp?arnumber=1285...
I would guess that 95% of the people who experience repeated failed drive issues such as yours, are experiencing them because of power issues on your lines (voltage and AC fluctuations), or P/S problems.
The other 5% are getting drives from the same bad lot #.
I strongly suggest that you invest in either a voltage regulator or a power conditioning UPS.
1) All three workstations with the Seagate drives have seen constant failure of Seagate drives. They have different brands of motherboard and power supplies, and checking system and HDD temperature shows nothing unusual (ignoring, for the moment, if temperature even matters).
2) All the computers in the office without the Seagate drives - but on the same power circuit - have seen no hard drive failures. At all. And some of the affected workstations had additional non-Seagate drives, including some ancient old IDE drives. None of the "extra" drives failed either.
3) Not long after the first round of failures, we noticed some power quality issues in the office. I purchased a fairly high-end Liebert UPS which solved the power quality issues, but didn't seem to change the Seagate issues.
4) As WD drives were purchased and swapped into the three affected workstations, the failures seemed to stop. Some of the WD drives have now been in service for significantly longer than some of the failed Seagate drives.
Of course, none of that proves anything, but the obvious explanations don't seem applicable. My guess is that my first half dozen drives were from a bad lot #, and the remaining drives were some mix of: * Also from a bad lot # * Damaged in shipping * Were improperly refurbished * Failed due to sheer random coincidence
I'm pretty sure I didn't break the drive which was dead on arrival from Seagate, if nothing else. :-) If you have any other suggestions, I'd love to hear them though. We were using RAID 1, and had backups to boot, so we didn't lose any data, but it was still quite a pain. If there's something I can do to stop it happening again, I'd love to hear it.
This means I'd have to upgrade the disks of my external RAID-1 unit instead, but my old unit only supports 500GB disks officially.
Looks like it's going to be expensive.
For reference, I still had some IDE (EIDE?) harddrives manufactured in the 90's that spun up without a glitch a few years ago when I still had an old desktop box with the appropriate controllers. Ditto for some early-90's SCSI drives that I turned on in the early 2000's, they worked just fine.
I would trade some speed and silence for a lot more robust platters that I could actually trust.
Lo and behold, a Google search for "WD RMA" took me to their website where they asked for the serial number. It immediately showed it as being purchased "out of region" and "not covered by warranty," except "replacement only."
I wasn't sure I read that right, but I entered my CC details and two days later I had a new drive at my door. Thank you, WD.
If Seagate is only offering 1-year warranties it's simple; I just won't buy Seagate. It really doesn't matter to me.
In this sort of context, I wonder how much all these extended warranties were ever really worth. Do some businesses just return failed drives as a matter of procedure, without regard to the possibility of commercially sensitive data leaking because it was still readable with patience and/or the right equipment? Do home users return drives under warranty without realising that all those juicy bank details in their personal accounts spreadsheet might still be accessible to someone who gets hold of the physical drive later, and that such a person might just be buying these things thousands at a time in some foreign country with no goal other than to harvest things like bank details that can be sold?
[1]http://www.seagate.com/ww/v/index.jsp?locale=en-US&name=...
More often, in the particular cases I'm familiar with, we're talking about commercially sensitive information, where we have to weigh up the costs of complete end-to-end encryption by default against the loss of productivity that results when things like big network file transfers slow way down. In a self-funded small company, with limited staff time and limited cash, total encryption is not always the answer.
For example, I think you can reasonably have a policy that encryption of any removable media is required but anything screwed into a rack in the office is biased toward performance, and in fact that is basically what we do in most cases. But it does limit the value of the kinds of warranties we're talking about, because we're not going to just hand over a hard drive that has probably had sensitive company documents on it to some random delivery service.
Similarly, from a personal point of view, I don't consider theft of my home computers to be a very high risk, so I don't routinely encrypt all the hard drives, even though I have some potentially sensitive data like downloaded bank statements and bills on there. Instead, I expect to keep the hard drives for a relatively long time anyway, and then have them securely wiped/destroyed when they are too old/broken to be useful any more.
Just to be clear, I'm not saying these choices are anyone's problem but my own. I accept the cost of the occasional hard drive failure as a natural consequence of these policies. I'm just saying that it means hard drive manufacturers' long-term warrantes are effectively not worth anything to me or the companies I run. I suspect that in practice plenty of other people/small businesses follow similar procedures, and therefore the warranties probably aren't worth much to them either.
In addition to raising prices, like you would in a traditional supply/demand model, this would seem to be a good time to increasing the favorability of warranty terms to the manufacturer given that they're no longer racing to the bottom on price margins with their competitors.
http://web.archive.org/web/19961110081033/http://www.maxtor....