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At last, we will have empirical evidence to prove if that old HN saw, "this app doesn't need X amount of people to run it" is correct or not.

There should be a prediction market for this so people can put their money where their mouth is.

A market like “will Twitter report a major outage during the course of the upcoming World Cup?” would be interesting to follow.

There's a election results prediction market, but I think there are other topics allowed;

If you are fine with virtual internet point betting, Metaculus [1] is sorta same.

Ha! I always laugh when I hear those. Guess we will find out!