God forbid we take responsibility for the massive bubble we’ve created through fiscal and monetary excess and actually address inflation
These people will be reabsorbed elsewhere, but it will certainly be a sad world when 21 year olds can’t make 300k out of college with 0 experience.
Yes, it is. But declines follow peaks.
> People who lose their jobs will be reabsorbed elsewhere
...or they won’t, and very soon the unemployment rate will be farther than it is today from the lowest it has been in history.
5% unemployment means there’s a rotating set of job seekers that comprise 5% of the labor force.
It absolutely does not mean that 5% of the labor force is perpetually jobless and unemployable.
I hope those lamenting these layoffs were also against the extreme fiscal excess which made them necessary in the end. The road to hell is often paved with good intentions
Unemployment rate is simply the ratio of two patterns of individual experience (not employed and actively looking vs that plus currently employed), published after the fact.
> 5% unemployment means there’s a rotating set of job seekers that comprise 5% of the labor force.
5% unemployment means that (at the time covered by the report) for every 100 people either not employed and actively looking for work or working, 5 fell into the former category.
It absolutely doesn’t tell you how much of that group is “rotating”.
5% unemployment is never going to represent 5% of the workforce being perpetually unemployed, as many sob stories try to implicitly portray it as.
If an individual is perpetually unemployable, then it doesn’t matter if unemployment is 5% or 1%, they aren’t getting hired anyway
No, it doesn’t rotate “by definition”, and the rate isn’t a constant, it is a point-in-time estimate.
If there is both hiring and firing going on that isn’t at the edges of the work force some portion of the 5% is transitorily unemployed, but that could be a very large or very small portion, or anything in between.
If rates aren’t being slashed long before then, then either:
(1) the brief burst of layoffs were an aberration and the job market will have otherwise stayed strong, so scraping by isn’t an issue.
(2) despite a weakening job market, inflation has been so persistent that fighting it remains a higher Fed priority than stimulus, and a politically motivated loosening of monetary policy would be a recipe for slingshotting into hyperinflation.
Just because the general country-wide unemployment is a low number, does not mean with any sort of guarantee that an individual will be able to transition in a decent amount of time as not to unduly impact their life.
And given what the oligopoly of banks... err, the FED has been saying, 'they are hitting the brakes of inflation by raising interest rates significantly' - further exasperating the layoffs and slowing/reversing hiring at other firms.
Targeting them more precisely with aid is the way to solve that, not helicopter money into massive bubble and inflation.
In the end who got hurt the most by the very money handed to them?
With that attitude, there will be.
But there doesn't have to be.
> Targeting them more precisely with aid is the way to solve that, not helicopter money into massive bubble and inflation.
Not aid. Money. Straight up cold hard cash. Any thing else instead, like SNAP, housing vouchers, etc treats them like they have no agency. Yet with corporate handouts, we do no such thing. Look no further than the PPP debacle.
Sorry, you advocate economic collapse, not anything realistic or sustainable.
Wishful thinkers have inflicted a vast amount of deaths throughout history due to economic mismanagement. Famine, hyperinflation etc
They’ve lost 90% of their money, by definition
If an investor does poor due diligence and doesn’t put the work in to determine a reasonable fair valuation for a company, and then loses their entire investment, that is just.
If board members give bad advice and the stock falls, they incur losses.
These are just outcomes.
Most people would agree that attending a 6 week bootcamp shouldn’t entitle somebody to a 200-300k job. And it won’t in the near future.
You’ll have to do a lot more to achieve the same comp going forward, just like every other industry. There’s nothing special about tech, it was just a nascent industry in boom times. No longer
People agree with that because it's true, developers landing those kinds of jobs are people coming out of strong universities (Stanford, Berkeley, etc), already have connections, or are senior level positions.
Nobody comes out of a code camp having just learned react and lands a 250 K position. Not sure where you got that information from but that's a serious outlier.
And many with little skills could grind leetcode and make 200k with no past experience. I became wealthy through egregious tech pay, I’ve seen it all firsthand.
Were you asleep at the wheel through the whole Covid bubble?
Shareholders clearly get paid commensurately with their ability to make wise investment choices. There’s nothing more equitable than that
What other outcome could or should there possibly even be?