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>The future of desktop Linux is a VM under Windows

If Microsoft has their way, you mean.

Microsoft already has their way. Any time you boot an alternate OS, it's only because Microsoft deigns to allow it. They're the CA for Secure Boot, and at any time they can forbid disabling Secure Boot in order to qualify for Windows.

…and then immediately get broken up.

I have always found it funny that Microsoft provides a free service to the Linux community which makes them significantly safer, and for their trouble they get no end of shade from that community.

That won’t happen, they might get told to cut it out but they won’t get broken up. Microsoft is so unbelievably too big to fail that their existence is a strategic asset for US national security. SecureBoot isn’t some big ole scandal to cut out Linux, it’s a feature to protect the massive fleet of Windows boxes provisioned by various government agencies that got spun into a consumer feature.

> and at any time they can forbid disabling Secure Boot in order to qualify for Windows.

If regulatory agencies were to let them get away with it - which is a very big “if”.

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