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But that works out nicely right? 6m typical + 1m by covid -> 15-20% extra?

Interesting. The excess deaths from graph looks to be ~500,000 to 600,000, not the 1,000,000 that is claimed.

There are two datapoints with a 500,000-750,000 jump so yes the chart shows over 1,000,0000. And that doesn’t take into account the drop in normal deaths from lockdowns and wfh but anyways.

Two jumps? So 1.5M died?

But you are correct, it's cumulative, so without Covid you'd expect max ~100,000 more deaths per year (aging population), so the baseline would be

2019 - 2.8M (+0 excess deaths)

2020 - 2.9M (+500k excess deaths)

2021 - 3.0M (+400k excess deaths)

So 900k.

I guess half a million people dying is fine then.

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