At least one other key to making a bet like this fair is that it needs to be arbitrated by a third party. He shouldn't get to decide himself if he won or not.
At least one other key to making a bet like this fair is that it needs to be arbitrated by a third party. He shouldn't get to decide himself if he won or not.
But, at the rate we're seeing progress, I don't think there's any doubt at this point that top of the line models will be able to do all the proposed examples by June 2025. In fact, by June 2025 I bet that millions of people will be able to generate those images on their home computers.
Make that 2020. And in 2012 I was personally told by a startuper in the field that I would be able to buy L5 in 2017.
If you're really confident, you could change the conditions such that 5 out of 10 images (for 3/5 prompts) are required to depict the described scene. That would alleviate some of the concerns around cherry-picking.
A suitable home for such a public bet would be: https://longbets.org/