That'd make sense if it was an old link, like the one I reposted from 2011 the other day.
But the post was from today?
But the post was from today?
I believe that your earlier post doesn't have a "discuss" button because it's in [dead] status. Why it's [dead] I can't say. Your account doesn't seem to be shadow-banned since this post showed up. Maybe the domain of the link is banned (why that would be, I don't know). Or maybe the spam detector just fired a false positive for some totally random reason.
You might want to try emailing hn@ycombinator.com and inquire with the mods. Maybe they can help out.