Saving electricity is just as useful as adding new capacity, and it's faster, cheaper and easier. As a comparison, the US spends about twice as much electricity as Germany per capita [1].
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electrici...
And if not completely dominated by slow power plants, there is always enough load on the grid to keep it stable. Especially in a day and age where there is a lot of storage, which can absorb some excess power production.
Germany's coal and gas power is currently helping to power France. 4.3% of Germany's power generation is being exported to France at this very moment.
This is very non-trivial and will take decades longer than building nuclear power.
So I would rather take the fast-to-build solar and wind plants and research "large scale" energy storage alongside. Storage also does not have to be large-scale, you can just subsidise a lot of decentralized storage and invest in more flexible energy consumers (aka wash your clothes when the sun is shining).
I am not sure how to compare with hydrogen, as you say costs for it are in storage and transportation
People in Germany said these things 10 years ago too. If Germany had started building nuclear in quantity 10 years ago then they would be coming online now and would get cheaper with each new plant. Instead you will have crippling and deindustrializing power prices for years to come.
1) without massive subsidies
2) without huge investments in storage tech (research and production)
3) without building solar/wind in outside places like North Africa
Nuclear fission solves all of those problems and is a known ( and safe) technology.
"Is nuclear energy green" Sabine Hossenfelder
See the late Prof. MacKay’s work on the subject, considering fast breeder reactors to reuse the fuel and ocean extraction of uranium: https://www.withouthotair.com/c24/page_164.shtml
Also, this seems like an extreme luddite attitude. Imagine refusing to use a steam engine because nobody has demonstrated infinite coal reserves exist.
https://electrek.co/2018/05/11/tesla-giant-battery-australia...
Elon promised "Tesla will get the system installed and working 100 days from contract signature or it is free." And then had the entire thing connected and powering the South Australian power grid in just 63 days:
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/mar/10/elon-musk...
I'm fairly confident that 100 days is less than decades.
1 day of Germany electricity consumption is on the order of 1,400,000 MWh, something like 7,000x larger. A "few days" of electricity storage would take orders of magnitude longer to build and deploy, even if we worked on Elon's most optimistic timeline.
We need power supply now, yes, but we will still need storage decades from now. So building them now is vital. Yet we aren't doing that. That's a problem.
We literally have no time left, yet at the current course we'll be in the same situation in 2030 or 2050 as we are today and we'll keep making the same excuses.
We already had decades, so where is it?
On the other hand, I can understand why the current situation is like this: Germany boldly betted big time on renewables getting cheap enough, they made it work with backfill options available at the time. I just wish energy storage was tackled sooner as well.
Storing hydrogen is far from trivial. It's a bit like trying to store water when you're only allowed to build tanks out of paper.
Instead, we wait on renewables and storage to run the grid at some indeterminate point in the future.
The debate on this issue really is toxic and frustrating. We need all solutions working NOW, not tomorrow, and one of those solutions is widespread nuclear power.
You could even power the world just from renewables
https://innovationorigins.com/en/researchers-agree-the-world...
If people had grown up with variable supply of electricity, they would have no problem with it today. It's only the transition from something better to something worse that causes riots.
Such storage is right now domain of unicorns and pixie dust.
Other solution include near loseless transmission of power between sunny and shaded side.
As long as they are in government any compromise will be difficult.
Also, the situation in Germany is much worse than people from the outside think. Our best-case scenarios actually plan for pretty brutal energy saving cuts. People will be fully expected to wear multiple layers of clothing in their own homes because apparently having a warm home is now considered a luxury.
Other than hoping for a early peace in Ukraine I don't really anything that could solve the issues. I guess we will just have to tough it out.
Don't worry. The government is setting up all the right parameters for a revolution to replace them. Large parts of Germany, especially in the already government-critical east, are dependant on gas. Let October be the first cold month that hits us ... and the first grandma who decides she can't afford heating and freezes to death at night will make a splendid spark that will topple our pro-Ukrainian resolve.
And yes, I really think that. I do not think many sensible people believe in a looming Russian invasion of Germany.
Given how deeply ungrateful the Polish government has been towards the rest of Europe, especially Germany, in the last twenty years or so, pulling the evil German Nazi card whenever their will was not completely fulfilled while at the same time leeching off mostly Germany-originated monies, they can go suck it for all I care.
> Germany is obligated to defend Poland, Romania, Lithuania, Latvia, etc.
Nope. Read the relevant contracts. Nowhere in it it says that we need to "defend" anyone. NATO Article 5 states that an attack on one of the member states would be considered an attack against them all - and countries have endured attacks without retaliating (See: USS Liberty incident).
> You honestly think Russia will not invade them?
Not in the immediate future. Russia is overextended as it stands, they are obviously unable to stage another war for quite some time.
> Or that Germany will not be obligated to spill blood in their defense?
Also, we are not obligated to spill blood in defence. NATO Article 5 just states that we must take an action that we consider necessary - and not to aid the affected party member - but to restore peace and stability in Europe. If an aggressor blitzkrieged say Estonia, the whole thing was over in 24 hours, and everyone remaining was convinced that that's the end of it, peace and stability would return without any action necessary. Also, actions can be very little., they could be a strongly worded WhatsApp message to the aggressor.
This ambiguous meaning has been put in by the US, by the way, supposedly because they themselves thought it was not a good idea to sacrifice New York for Paris.
And Article 42(7) TEU only talks about "mutual aid" in case of armed conflict, which can be as little as sending some rice crackers.
The current government features SPD (labour), the Greens, and the FDP (conservative). They have their work cut out but it's not an impossible job.
Nuclear might get a temporary and short extension of life in Germany but that 8GW is not going to matter a whole lot relative to the tens of GW of gas that are used for electricity and the many GW more that are being used for heating. The numbers just don't add up. Short term it helps as a stop gap solution but long term there's a need for many tens of GW of additional capacity. Most of that inevitably is going to be wind and solar. Gas is a complete non starter at this point. And coal is quite expensive and coal supplies also are a bit tricky as most of that actually also came from Russia.
The Ukrainian crisis is basically succeeding in making the Germans go cold turkey on gas and coal in a hurry. It's going to be disruptive and expensive but they are going to get it done much earlier than they were originally planning even a year ago. The disruption will be mainly to industry which will suffer most of the consequences of high prices and limited availability of gas. However, that will cause industry to respond by investing in reducing their dependency on those energy sources. Once that takes effect, the transition is permanent. Probably, ten years from now, most coal production in Germany will be gone; most gas heating and electricity will be gone and what little remains will be powered using expensive imports. Some of which might still come from Russia.
Wind and Solar have the drawback of not being a constant or reliable source of energy. Yes, they provide cheap and clean energy but not always when you need it.
Yes, the solution would be to save the energy when you need it BUT we don't have that, yet. I really hope we will figure something out but we need not face reality: The tech is not there yet. It might take decades that we don't have.
This is so frustrating to argue with people. Like, I really like your optimism but we don't have a saving solution. We have some ideas but scaling them up towards the scope that we actually need is not easily done.
I really wish you were right but the facts don't add add.
> However, that will cause industry to respond by investing in reducing their dependency on those energy sources.
Since when do they know that they should be transitioning to other sources? Decades? What have the done? Nothing.
As long there are other countries with cheap gas I am not so optimistic. Yes, some will make the transitions, other will move production to other countries and lot's of them we will simply lose. The next years will be brutal.
Only when the international community actually starts to take climate change and dependence on gas more serious will we see some change.
As an American it is not hard to see how these hardened anti-nuclear activists in Germany benefit Russia. It is also not hard to see the close political and historic proximity between the Soviet Union and the Green party.
It seems that average Germans do not make that connection. Why?
The Greens were the only party calling for embargoes against Russia to stop importing Russian gas all together in 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea. They also opposed Nord Stream 2 from the beginning. They inherited the clusterfuck the conservatives left them when they got elected in 2021 and now have to deal with what they have.
The conservatives killed the German solar industry (world leader at the time in the 2000s) and also killed the wind turbine industry shortly after. Reason? China was cheaper.
The Greens were also the first to call for weapons for Ukraine while other parties struggled to even make statements.
Of course evidence on these matters is going to be hard to find.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/19/russia-s...
Russia didn't want Germany to utilize fracking gas because this would mean that Germany doesn't need Russia anymore. The Green party opposes any gas where possible. Just because Russia financed a few fringe groups doesn't mean that the Green party is in bed with Russia.
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/nord-stream-2-die...
This clearly proves that in June 2021 the Greens already predicted what would happen in 2022 and opposed the opening of Nord Stream 2 because of geopolitical and security risks.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/juliecoleman/2022/07/08/germany...
I'm sorry, but this is hearfelt: the German greens are climate criminals. And they were fully warned of exactly this situation decades ago, so no, they have zero "circumstances forced our hand" defence.
You knew, and you chose to burn coal anyway.
The Greens have not been in government for the last sixteen years. It was the conservative governments under Merkel and particularly the environment and later economy minister Altmaier who openly celebrated reducing buildout of solar power [1].
As for nuclear power: any talk about lengthening their operation is utter madness. There are no fuel rods and the reactors haven't had their security checkups because they were scheduled to be shut down - and just look at France just how catastrophic nuclear power actually is (ETA: I substantially detailed that in a daughter comment, see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32605337).
The government has little other choice than to keep the coal burners running at this point, as the Merkel governments have done everything in their power to hinder renewable energy buildout, and the Bavarian CSU has sabotaged cross-country high voltage power transmission lines.
[1] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Einbruch-bei-der-Photovoltaik-ar...
While this is true, they have always been in favour of shutting down nuclear power plants and now they would have the opportunity to reverse this course, but they don't.
The Greens have been founded as an anti-nuclear party. In the 80s, they even demanded to replace nuclear power with coal (https://twitter.com/MoormannRainer/status/143529774448733801...). Shutting down nuclear power plants is obviously more important to them than the climate.
> and just look at France just how catastrophic nuclear power actually is.
What's so catastrophic about France? Despite all the troubles they currently have, their CO2 emissions per kW are still a fraction of Germany's.
Because nuclear does not make sense. The financial risk of accidents at a Fukushima or Chernobyl scale is too high (as no insurer will take on that risk, the taxpayers will have to pay for it, and as the Ukraine invasion and the fighting around Chernobyl shows, disaster plants are a danger for decades!), a lot of the uranium comes from questionable sources (Russia and Khazakhstan [1]), and Europe does not have permanent storage solutions for the nuclear waste [2].
Renewable energies already make up 41% of our electricity generation, it could be 100%.
> What's so catastrophic about France? Despite all the troubles they currently have, their CO2 emissions per kW are still a fraction of Germany's.
For the sake of not spamming around the same text, I consolidated the list of issues here in a sibling comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32605337
As for the CO2 emissions: yeah because the CO2 everyone else in Europe generates to compensate their nuclear issues is not counted in their CO2 budget but ours.
[1] https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/nuclear/where-our-uraniu...
[2] https://www.br.de/nachrichten/wissen/atommuell-die-suche-nac...
Assuming your three points would be solved, would you be in favour of nuclear power plants? Or what exactly would need to change?
Ok, let's say I could convince you that it is possible to store nuclear waste safely, and show you that building up wind power takes at least as long. Could I convince you then?
Even leaving out disaster scenarios: A modern EPR nuclear power plant is at ~1.6 GW [3] at a cost of 11 billion euros, taking a decade or more to build, and about a billion dollars to tear down [4]. A wind park half the size costs two billion dollars in two to five years [5], has less risks in construction, no risk at all of a catastrophic failure, and assuming 80€/kWh in teardown costs [6] 16 million € for the teardown.
That means wind power at a capacity factor of 0.4-0.5 [7] (meaning, you need two of them to achieve the same available capacity to the grid on average) is half as expensive as a nuclear power plant even when ignoring the efficiencies that building at scale brings with it and has virtually no risks attached. Financially, it's absolute irresponsibility to go nuclear.
[1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK253929/
[2] https://www.nationalgeographic.com/culture/article/chernobyl...
[3] https://taz.de/Finnischer-Reaktor-geht-ans-Netz/!5829751/
[4] https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/energie/energiewend...
[5] https://renewablesnow.com/news/construction-starts-on-800-mw...
[6] https://www.bmwk.de/Redaktion/DE/Parlamentarische-Anfragen/2...
Beside that, in another comment you had a long list of things you say is required to make EE feasible. You need to include the price of all these things in your calculation.
Agreed that base load is valuable... but why not go and reduce the amount of base load by both directly saving on load (e.g. by insulating houses or getting rid of advertising) and by making the base load that absolutely remains more flexible (e.g. by upgrading to a truly smart grid that can dynamically regulate consumption of loads)?
And for what it's worth, you can additionally also go and build even more wind energy. In times of ample wind, the now infinitely cheap electricity can be used in electrolysis to generate hydrogen as a base chemical for the industry and fuel for those very few applications that definitely need a combustion process (e.g. glass and metal foundries).
Complicating the grid with smarts, given how well that's gone with IoT?
We've thrown a low carbon option under the bus because of sloppy Soviet engineering.
The coal and gas we are stuck with due to "greens" no nuclear stance has caused more harm to humanity than our sum total nuclear incidents, even counting non power incidents such as orphaned radiotherapy sources or ignoring procedures at irradiation facilities.
The waste was never the main problem and contemporary nuclear power plant designs don't share many of the other downsides either.
80% of their power is generated by nuclear. Of their nuclear plants, way over half the fleet has been offline for months because of inspections and sometimes substantial damages from age-related corrosion issues [1], and the other half is severely limited or cut off as well because the rivers that they depend on for cooling can't keep up [2]. And since the entire continent is a single synced grid, someone has to cover the gap, and that's German gas peakers [3].
Unfortunately, European energy markets operate at the "merit order" principle [4] which means that the highest bidder on the spot market sets the price for everyone else - which means while gas peaker plants generate extremely expensive energy for France, the operators of any other type of plant get the exact same high price leading to billions of euros in excess profit for them [5].
France also has another problem, and that's the EPR design that has led to severe budget and time overruns. Not just generic issues, but massive design defects [6]. They bet on Flamanville replacing a bunch of the aged plants, the bet failed, and no one knows when that reactor will finally come online. Flamanville was projected to cost 3.3 billion euros and be ready in 2012 - current estimates are at 12.7 billion euros at the least and a start in Q2/23 [7], and other EPR projects are just as bad.
[1] https://www.france24.com/en/france/20220825-france-prolongs-...
[2] https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/03/edf-to-redu...
[3] https://www.swr.de/swraktuell/baden-wuerttemberg/suedbaden/w...
[4] https://www.focus.de/finanzen/boerse/merit-order-wie-ein-gut...
[5] https://www.derstandard.de/story/2000137852348/gas-und-oelpr...
[6] https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1645421/energy-crisis...
[7] https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/edf-hopeful-end-sigh...
All those plants make the max price, so if you can think of a way to cheaply generate power when it is expensive you get paid the high gas price up until all gas is removed from the market.
Short term, if a war or embargo is driving up gas prices, it still makes sense to charge high prices, because that gives people an incentive to not use electricity and so saves on the restricted resource.
But, this will really hit the poor or businesses that use a lot of gas through no fault of their own.
Since we are all in this together, the people earning the extra money should get it redistributed to the people. But some rich and powerful people think that sets a bad precedent, so they'll try to make poor people suffer as much as they can before doing it.
Doesn't that encourage collusion to generate artificial scarcity - all participants benefit from it?
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/feb/06/how-tesla...
> The big gas generators – even though they have 10 times more capacity than is required – have systematically rorted the situation, sometimes charging up to $7m a day for a service that normally comes at one-tenth of the price.
> (You can read reports on how they do it here, here and here, and for a more detailed explanation at the bottom of this story.)
> The difference in January was that there is a new player in the market: Tesla. The company’s big battery, officially known as the Hornsdale Power Reserve, bid into the market to ensure that prices stayed reasonable, as predicted last year.
> Rather than jumping up to prices of around $11,500 and $14,000/MW, the bidding of the Tesla big battery – and, in a major new development, the adjoining Hornsdale windfarm – helped (after an initial spike) to keep them at around $270/MW.
> This saved several million dollars in FCAS charges, which are paid by other generators and big energy users, in a single day.
> And that’s not the only impact. According to state government’s advisor, Frontier Economics, the average price of FCAS fell by around 75% in December from the same month the previous year. Market players are delighted, and consumers should be too, because they will ultimately benefit.
Of course, just decent regulatory oversight can stop this kind of thing too, but fossil fuel producers seem to be really against that kind of thing for some reason.
I assume you are referring to power plants that has to shut down due to low water levels?
If the powerplant is designed with a source of eater in mind, it will have tp shut down when the water is gone. It does not matter if the plant is oil, coal or nuclear.
Plenty of nuclear powerplants use seawater for cooling, and none of them had to shutdown.
It goes way worse than the drought. For the sake of not spamming around the same text, I consolidated the list of issues here in a sibling comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32605337
> Plenty of nuclear powerplants use seawater for cooling, and none of them had to shutdown.
Plants at the seawater border are vulnerable to floods as a result of extreme weather conditions, we've seen the consequences of that in Fukushima. Additionally, being close to the sea means the plants are vulnerable to the rise of sea water, which is a risk for the future.
I'm not saying it's bad they protested nuclear. Nuclear needs to go, too. It's just bad that they hyperfixated on nuclear because it's easier to scare people about it and that they didn't ensure we get rid of coal first. Scaring people about nuclear was child's play after Chernobyl if the threat of the Cold War wasn't enough (as the public already conflated nuclear power and nuclear weapons). The coal industry's political power is much greater in Germany tho and taking it on would have meant finding a way to bridge the cultural gap between blue collar Kumpels and the more college educated Birkenstock crowd.
Hopefully FFF and XR are finally doing some of the work now but sadly the opposition has also gotten better at its game and that Kumpel at his Stammtisch beer will most likely make bad jokes about "Greta" despite not batting an eye if you ask him to sign a petition to shut down all nuclear plants.
In UK, since we privatised water companies, they have not built a single new reservoir, they are basically operating 30 year old infrastructure, dumping sewage in rivers and paying themselves dividends in the billiona
[1] https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/themen/klima-energie/erneuerb...
We need to generate 100% of our energy needs every single hour. Renewables are practically incapable of doing this on their own. They can reduce the use of fossil fuelds (or nuclear power), but not replace them.
Install enough windmills across the entire coastal areas of Europe, add thousands of kilometers long cross-continental UHVDC links like China does [1] and even winter won't be a problem.
Besides: using biomass / biogas fuel for conventional burner plants is climate neutral, and the supply is enough to cover half of the deliveries of Russia [2].
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultra-high-voltage_electricity...
[2] https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/technologie/biogas-stat...
That's completely unrealistic. There are times when in all of Europe there is little to no wind. Certainly not enough that one region can provide enough power for all of Europe. Maybe it's possible in China, I don't now their climate, but even they are planning to increase the number of nuclear power plants.
- insulate buildings so that they better retain heat. This one is massive - over a third of all energy consumption goes towards buildings [1]!
- promote heat pumps (either to air or ground) because these are far more energy efficient for air conditioning and hot water generation
- help poorer households to save energy - especially those who can't afford to replace their 20 years old fridge which consumes over double the power that a modern appliance needs [2].
- resilient grids with photo-voltaic energy generation on every roof and distributed battery storage
- smart grids that can (dis)incentivize large loads like water heaters or electric vehicles automatically based on grid generation capacity
- more incentives for high-energy consuming industries to act as a dynamic power sink or to operate only in times where energy is plentiful
- shut down street lights at night or make them smart to only be alight when needed - lighting consumes about 0.7% of the total power consumption [0], but as it runs at night where solar power is offline by definition, its impact on base load is worse.
- completely ban advertisements using lighting at night
Ideally, we would have continuous renewable or at least climate neutral-ish generation power (geothermal, tidal, running water power, biogas and waste incineration and whatever is the sum of the lowest-ever-available-wind power) to cover the base load, and have consumers smartly adapt on current electricity prices.
[0] https://www.strassenbeleuchtung.de/index.php/technik/34-grun...
[1] https://www.dena.de/themen-projekte/energieeffizienz/gebaeud...
[2] https://www.verbraucherzentrale.nrw/sites/default/files/2022...
- the things you list are insanely expensive (just keep that in mind next time you say that nuclear power is expensive... you also need to figure these costs in when comparing to EE, because you wouldn't need to do this with nuclear)
- PV with battery storage is great for autarky and reducing fossils, but won't reduce the need for base load after a week without sun in winter, when all the batteries are empty..
- things like heat pumps that replace fossils will increase electricity consumption. I think current estimates are that electricity consumption may increase 50-100%.
- there is just not a lot of potential for additional renewable base load in Germany. Bio gas, hydro, geothermal.. they are all pretty must at their limits. there is just no way around either burning fossils, using nuclear or having an insane amount of storage.
We absolutely need to do this anyway and fast, because there will not be any massive amount of new nuclear power going online - even if we were to start out a buildout offensive in nuclear plants, it would take ten to fifteen years at best, and we need to conserve as much energy as we can in the meantime.
> - PV with battery storage is great for autarky and reducing fossils, but won't reduce the need for base load after a week without sun in winter, when all the batteries are empty..
Which is why industry needs to be incentivized to shut down in such times. China does it by force, we can offer financial incentives.
> Bio gas, hydro, geothermal.. they are all pretty must at their limits. there is just no way around either burning fossils, using nuclear or having an insane amount of storage.
Biogas has a lot of potential, as well as geothermal. We just need to get going after 16 years of sabotage by the conservatives.
No. Only if we want to be the only major country in the civilised world that doesn't use nuclear power despite having not enough hydro power.
> would take ten to fifteen years at best,
This is extremely optimistic for wind power, and even more for rebuilding the electricity grid. Even if you can somehow shorten the planning processes: We are in the middle of a workers shortage and a supply-chain crisis. Who should build all these wind parks? And all the other things you listed, like building isolations and heat pumps. Shut down universities and require everybody to work in construction for a couple of years?
> we need to conserve as much energy as we can in the meantime.
Why? What's the outcome? Kill the economy? Who should pay for all these things?
> Biogas has a lot of potential, as well as geothermal.
Biogas needs agricultural land and thereby competes with food, and thus has other implications. Geothermal would be nice to have, and I think everybody agrees on that, but it's going nowhere. And as far I know not only in Germany, but everywhere.
It’s like you’re not really pro-climate, but trying to accomplish the secret objective of limiting the scope of human existence. I am reminded of the anti-human religious folk who see humanity as a sinful scourge.
I'm afraid I don't follow the logic here.
If you want to look for more nuclear to turn on, have a look at France where less than 50% of nuclear power plants are currently generating energy.
> Right now gas plants are running to stabilize the grid in France...
As far as I know, gas plants have always been used to stabilize grid in France.
Most industrial processes can be stopped without endangering people.
The bigger problem is that Germany doesn't have any more recent nuclear power plants due to public pressure and instead just extended the lifetimes of the existing ones for decades to compensate. We could have built better and SAFER nuclear power plants but because that would have lost voters we instead had to extend the lifetimes again and again.
All polluting industries have their own tactics to deflect public attention. In Germany coal succeeded at deflecting that attention towards nuclear. The Ruhr region has a romanticized nostalgia for its history of coal mining whereas most people associate nuclear power with Chernobyl (or more recently Fukushima, which really just culturally echoed the existing memories of Chernobyl), the nuclear bombings of Nagasaki and Hiroshima and the threat of global thermonuclear war while being smack in the middle of the Iron Curtain (almost literally, with the Berlin Wall separating both sides of the conflict).
I don't know to what extent the coal industry is actually involved in this, but there is an almost patriotic attitude towards coal plants in contrast with the horrified panic surrounding nuclear. Meanwhile solar is mostly seen as a way to cut down on electric bills by installing pannels on your own roof and wind power is a "blight on the countryside" and "health risk" (because of noise pollution, strobing shadows and of course killing migratory birds). Some of this seems to be finally changing but the "man on the street" will likely still prefer coal over all other forms of energy for no good reason.
France hasn't either and they don't have public pressure against it. The are still trying to build a single one, being a decade late and billions more expensive.
> or more recently Fukushima, which really just culturally echoed the existing memories of Chernobyl
Currently we think about the nuclear fleet in the Ukraine which is literally under fire from Russia.
We are not far away from a new Fukushima, but this time in Europe.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/both-working-reactors-o...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/25/zaporizhzhia-n...
There _is_ public pressure against nuclear, but it's at 50/50 vs support for nuclear. It has become a mostly partisan topic.
> We are not far away from a new Fukushima, but this time in Europe.
Except we technically _already_ had "Fukushima in Europe" 40 years ago, and for most people, life just went on.
I agree that if anything goes bad a the Ukrainian plant (FSM forbids), the politicians who have been pro-nuclear in the past few years will have a hard time keeping face, and the sentiments would change, and the experts would spent some unconfortable interviews.
However, I can not blame government for being even more scared at Union-wide blackouts than at a local incident at a plant.
The latter is horrible, and puts you at the mercy of winds, but _has been managed in the past_.
The former gives me worst nightmares (than the other scenario that also gives me nightmares.)
Let's all remember it made _sense_ to live in Pompei in 79.
where is the pressure in France against nuclear? I can remember civil war like situations at construction sites in Germany years ago. A political movement that spawned a new party which now is, again, in a ruling coalition.
In the left-wing press in general (Liberation, Le Monde and Le Canard Enchaîné are _patently_ antinuke).
In the minds of french people, also, who are very ambivalent about the topic (as measured by... The nuclear industry itself [1])
In regular demonstrations against the Bure waste disposal project, and In general snarkiness about the nuclear plants producing exactly as much current during maintenance as solar panels during the night.
Now, to be fair, this split is more 30% against, 30% for, and 30 % "does not care and is happy to have relatively cheap electricity and no major incident for the last 60 years".
The side that is mostly against nuclear is also very good at _not_ winning elections.
Far right could very much have decided to go antinuke too, but for some reason they decided being anti wind was a better bet.
The rest of the country is in this weird middle stage were it's not popular to be pro nuke if you want to score with girls at parties, but you'll kinda be anyway.
[1] https://www.bva-group.com/sondages/francais-nucleaire-sondag...
FTFY
The 1938 Yellow River flood (Chinese: 花園口決隄事件, literally "Huayuankou embankment breach incident") was a flood created by the Nationalist Government in central China during the early stage of the Second Sino-Japanese War in an attempt to halt the rapid advance of Japanese forces. One million dead.
So by that logic you should be against hydroelectric dams, becauae they've been used in warfare for centuries.
One would think the chief problem in that equasion is war, not infrastructure
Because the Russians are trying to disconnect the plant from the Ukrainian grid or cause a disaster they specifically said they could cause a disaster if they wanted to.
It's hilarious how the Western politicians and mass media seriously blame Russia for shelling a nuclear plant which it controls for a number of months. And a lot of people either blindly trust this narrative, or intentionally spread misinformation with the sole goal to demonize Russia as much as possible. It reminds me how Donetsk rebels were blamed for shelling of civilians in territories which they control.
It clearly shows how far we are in the post-truth world. Even a tiny bit of critical thinking is enough to understand who truly does the shelling, but titles like "Ukrainian Army shells a nuclear plant" are too inconvenient for the current political climate.
As far as I know, the goal of shelling (which for the time being does not target the reactors or the spent fuel storage) is to discourage Russia from disconnecting the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant from the Ukrainian grid and connect it with the Russian grid instead.
No one needs to demonise a country that commits genocide and has its military rape children, the Russians are plenty good at demonising themselves.
> As far as I know, the goal of shelling (which for the time being does not target the reactors or the spent fuel storage) is to discourage Russia from disconnecting the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant from the Ukrainian grid and connect it with the Russian grid instead.
The goal of the shelling _is_ to disconnect the power plant, the Russians are shelling the plant to try and cause issues with the connection to the Ukrainian grid which they successfully did in the past couple days.
Yeah, right. The woman spreading these accounts got finally fired.
"... also accuses her [Lyudmyla Denisova] of having focused too much on media work, and on describing sexually motivated crimes in gratuitous detail as well as the raping of children in occupied territories. However, some of these accounts, he said, had not been verified, which had harmed Ukraine's reputation and distracted media attention from other, proven crimes and problems." [0]
[0] https://www.dw.com/en/why-ukraines-human-rights-chief-lyudmy...
You're speaking like the Russian army is some sort of pillar of society that would never do a thing.
We know that they regularly rape, torture and commit war crimes. In multiple cities in Ukraine. This isn't really disputable they even brag on camera about wanting to commit genocide and even castrate people on camera.
Here's an article on the crimes they have committed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sexual_violence_in_the_2022_Ru...
It, however, contains this paragraph: "Lyudmyla Denisova, Ombudsman in Ukraine for human rights, "speculated" that sexual violence was being used as a weapon of war by Russian forces.[15][23] Denisova was fired from her position in the end of May, 2022. She later admitted to making "“exaggerated” reports of sexual crimes by Russian soldiers in order to get Ukraine more weaponry.[24]"
They rape, torture and commit genocide. Just because there was one instance of someone being fired doesn't make everything said after false, theres other accounts of child rape too.
For example this article was posted on the 21st of august - https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2022-08-21/russia...
The only source this article cites is written answer of Ukrainian prosecutor general’s office and even it mentions only single anonymous case of coercion of 16 year old girl. Which is one too many if true.
Note, that's the same Ukrainian prosecutor general’s office that for eight years failed to investigate the death of 42 people burned alive by Ukrainian nationalists in Odessa [0].
Please read the wikipedia article on atrocity propaganda [1] and how it's been used for ages.
Having said that, I do believe that war crimes inevitably happen in all wars, even in ones waged by 'enlightened and civilized West' [2].
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Odesa_clashes
The difference is for Russia the war crimes are a every day thing and expected of Russian soldiers, in the west it’s a big deal when they happen, investigations happen and people even sometimes get charged.
Russia commits genocide regularly in Ukraine and some of them even state it’s the purpose of the war.
This assumes Russia is a rational actor, they could want to do it and try and have leverage to blame the Ukrainians they could want to do it and try and cause a disaster and blame the Ukrainians.
"Genocide" became a meaningless word because it's used willy-nilly similarly to "terrorism". Even if we are to trust number of civilian deaths reported by Western and Ukrainian sources it's really far from being "genocide". IIRC in relative terms, the US invasion of Iraq with subsequent fight against ISIS is closer to "genocide" than the invasion of Ukraine.
And as for "rape children", it's yet another blatant demonization. The lies became so toxic, Zelensky even had to fire Denisova, the person responsible for distributing most of such claims without properly supporting them with evidence. Most of "Russian soldiers rape children" articles you read in the Western media were citing Denisova.
>The goal of the shelling _is_ to disconnect the power plant
Oh wow... Are you incapable of critical thinking? Like at all? Russians can always physically cut wires in the territory they control.
If they wanted, they could've easily bombed every substation in Ukraine with its missiles. But because they do have some humanitarian considerations, they don't do it (unlike some other countries). As we can see, Russia has no techincal trouble bombing stationary objects as far as the westernmost Ukraine.
Genocide has a definition and even basing our assertions of just what Russia is admitting that they are doing they meet the definition of genocide, its not meaningless it just has a broader definition then most people know.
You can read the definition of genocide from here.
>> https://www.un.org/en/genocideprevention/genocide.shtml
>> In the present Convention, genocide means any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:
>> Killing members of the group;
>> Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;
>> Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;
>> Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;
>> Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.
You could argue about some of the points but Russia _proudly_ admits they are kidnapping Ukrainian children and forcibly relocating them to Russia. So they meet point 5 of the UN definition of genocide.
> And as for "rape children", it's yet another blatant demonization. The lies became so toxic, Zelensky even had to fire Denisova, the person responsible for distributing most of such claims without properly supporting them with evidence. Most of "Russian soldiers rape children" articles you read in the Western media were citing Denisova.
There are multiple counts of different atrocities that the Russians had committed if you want to discount the child rape go for it, but we plenty of evidence of Russia raping plenty of people in Ukraine.
> Oh wow... Are you incapable of critical thinking? Like at all? Russians can always physically cut wires in the territory they control.
Are you incapable of discussing something in a civil manner?. Please read the guidelines for hacker news https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.
> If they wanted, they could've easily bombed every substation in Ukraine with its missiles. But because they do have some humanitarian considerations, they don't do it (unlike some other countries). As we can see, Russia has no techincal trouble bombing stationary objects as far as the westernmost Ukraine.
Yes the country that is levelling cities, kidnapping and forcibly deporting children, and raping women (and allegedly children) has 'humanitarian considerations'.
Russia regularly uses civilian deaths as a part of its war machine they are trying to do it to Ukraine like they did it too Chechnya in Grozny. It's why they force civilians to stay in the cities they capture.
As a German, i'm wondering where you got that idea from... Because pretty much every poll i know of, is in support of turning off coal plants.
But culturally, especially in the Ruhr region, coal has the benefit of nostalgia whereas nuclear has always been scary. Of course nowadays most "coal" is actually lignite and there is some resistance against lignite mining destroying large swathes of the landscape whereas the industrial architecture of "black coal" mining has become a national heritage. But lignite is still benefitting from some of that "black coal" nostalgia.
It's probably worth adding that these perceptions not only vary by region but also by socioeconomics and politics.
Those signage displays are creating lots of light pollution and consume lots of energy. It's a good thing to shut those down, no matter how much energy we have/create.