Hacker News Reader

It seems unlikely that theres sufficient evidence to claim causality here.

Honestly? If you say "we're in a recession" and then it turns out it is or becomes a recession, it sounds like you were right. Not that you caused it.

Here's but one of many papers https://www.jstor.org/stable/29794227.

Dig through google scholar using terms like "confidence" and "recession" to find many more.

This contradicts my best evidence based on the widespread joke that "economists have predicted nine of the last five recessions." Big, if true.

Here's but one of many papers https://www.jstor.org/stable/29794227.

Dig through google scholar using terms like "confidence" and "recession" to find many more.

This seems like a great example of anti-data .. do you have any source at all to back this up?

Here's but one of many papers https://www.jstor.org/stable/29794227.

Dig through google scholar using terms like "confidence" and "recession" to find many more.