I would rate the chances of an Indian (or Pakistani, or Bangladeshi) national being able to evade capture domestically in their home country in south asia as quite high.

In either country you can exist entirely in a cash-based economy with no digital records of your actual identity linked to any transactions or accounts if you put a bit of effort and thought into it.

Unless the fugitive was high enough profile that it would cause the US to really put pressure on the relevant local government to search out and capture them.