Is there something I'm missing?
Is there something I'm missing?
The coffee cools faster if it's hot. So putting in the creamer immediately steals the most efficient cooling period for the coffee. There are some caveats that I don't consider that could make a difference like that the surface area of the combined liquid is larger so it transfers heat more efficiently.
Correct, and we're trying to optimize for hot coffee after 30 minutes. We want cooling to be less efficient.
I don't know enough to argue with any confidence but this is very surprising to me. Ignoring for a moment the thermal conductivity of different mug materials, it seems like a large amount of energy would go toward heating the mug up to near liquid temperature rather quickly. Then you'd have at least as much heat loss between the mug and air (compared to exposed liquid and air).
The mug I imagine we're talking about is a ceramic mug, which I believe to have high thermal conductivity just based on what processor covers are made of. It also has plenty of mass.
If you're talking about an insulated mug obviously this changes. But just the fact that insulated mugs exist proves my point that a large amount of heat is lost through the mug...
However, if we really want to overcomplicate things we could consider the possibility of an insulating air pocket in a half-empty cup, leading to less convective losses. Consider a vacuum flask half full of hot coffee outside in a strong wind. If you fill it to the brim with creamer it might cool faster. Evaporation might become important too.
If you remove those units at the start, you've reduced the starting temp a bit, but you haven't much changed the long tail of the cooling. You essentially just started the coffee at a slightly cooler temperature, but this doesn't affect the curve much. Or to think of it another way, the change in temperature at the start corresponds to a small amount of X axis (time) on the curve.
If you add the cream later, the temperature reduction corresponds to a larger amount of time on the curve. This means the temperature will be lower than the above.
So to my intuition, cream first should yield hotter coffee