Can you say more?
Musk is the world’s wealthiest individual. I’m having trouble seeing see how being bad at making predictions results in that outcome.
Musk is the world’s wealthiest individual. I’m having trouble seeing see how being bad at making predictions results in that outcome.
"Covid will be gone by April 2020":
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1240754657263144960
"FSD will be achieved by 2018":
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/686279251293777920
"Neuralink in human brains by 2020":
https://news.yahoo.com/everything-know-neuralink-elon-musks-...
Being wealthy has also a lot to do with being at the right place, at the right time, inherited wealth, and outsourcing efficiently.
That being said, do you think the majority of the predictions he makes in going about his every day business are wrong?
To get to the point Musk has reached, it seems to me that that would, over a lifetime, require a person making billions (?) of small predictions that no one ever hears about. I think it must be the case that he’s very good at making those kinds of predictions.
I agree with you that being wealthy does confer a great advantage to people. I don’t think it explains everything about Elon Musk and the success he has achieved to date.
To be clear, I don’t believe in free will. It seems like an error to me to look at a successful person and claim that they achieved their success single-handedly.
OP is discussing his prediction about the economy though.
On paper.
He bet big on EVs, which the market rewarded. Same happened with Microsoft and computers maybe thirty years ago, main difference being that Tesla is not holding a semi monopoly, and competitors are catching up quickly.
How do you measure that? All sales figures show the contrary.
Also, two days ago https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-01/vw-ceo-sa...
>Volkswagen AG said Tesla Inc. is moving twice as quickly as the rest of the industry that needs to pick up the pace in the shift to making electric vehicles packed with software.
When they command the attention and loyalty of millions of people who believe everything they say, yes they matter a great deal.