>Don't vaguepost. If you've got a point, say it.
Sorry, you're right. I just figured nobody was reading my post anyway and it was getting long. Obviously I'm not telepathic and don't know dalio knows, but he's a smart dude. I'm sure he looked at real gdp.
It comes down to 'I found a problem that's 40 years out' or whatever #. It's not exciting. There's in fact multiple other huge problems to address first.
Fossil fuel exhaustion, Top soil erosion, End of fertilizers and migration to meat eating, actual climate change thresholds, etc happens sooner. Though obviously none of those are until 10-30 years or so.
It's not that he's blowing his issue out of proportion for $, well maybe he is, but he's saying what has to happen to prevent it and it has to start now. Obviously, education, no deficit spending, and wealth redistribution are his key 3. He's basically parroting Milton Friedman who identified this problem many decades before.
Weapons of mass destruction break his predictions about post-top reality. China will NEVER be able to attack the USA directly. Nukes, bioweapons. Covid lab leak? You think the USA doesn't have something that could easily wipe out asia? We are in a different collapse situation for empires compared to each since QINQ.