Since you want hard poll evidence, I browsed Gallup and found a poll:
41% of Republicans vs. 61% of Democrats think having kids outside of marriage is "morally acceptable". [1]
61% of Republicans vs. 73% of Democrats think divorce is acceptable. [1]
Interestingly, you can look at [2] and see that these issues fall pretty neatly into OP's argument about "luxury beliefs". For instance, on the "having kids outside of marriage" issue, only 38% of black Democrats think it is morally acceptable, but 64% of non-black Democrats think it is morally acceptable. The black vs. non-black numbers for sex outside of marriage are 46% to 68%. Given the prevalence of exactly these behaviors in the black community relative to the white community, I think that this constitutes pretty hard evidence that OP's "luxury beliefs" hypothesis has a lot going for it.
[1] https://news.gallup.com/poll/137357/Four-Moral-Issues-Sharpl...
[2] https://news.gallup.com/poll/112807/Blacks-Conservative-Repu...