An update on the threat landscape
blog.google
blog.google
https://krebsonsecurity.com/2022/01/at-request-of-u-s-russia...
Those people must be now be back to the business, national heroes and the era of ransomware diplomacy ended as fast as it started.
1) they are very good at hacking
2) they are not so good at hacking
3) Russia is a popular place for hackers to set up proxies
Actually I don't see a ton of news about national-security related hacking by Russia.
Asymmetric commercial hacking is pretty easy to explain: hacking foreign entities is safer than hacking domestic ones in terms of risk exposure, and hacking entities in countries richer than yours is more attractive than the other way round.
And where are these news stories coming from?
What precisely are the incentives for multinational corporations to censor news about American cyber malfeasance, especially given how acute and prolonged a regulatory headache unchecked American surveillance created for them in Europe?
Narcotics, prostitution, gambling, smuggling, and computer crime all take organization and capitalization. It's just that in some places such organizations control the reigns of political power brazenly and shamelessly.
2. Kind of a "worse is better" phenomenon. This is apocryphal but while Americans and Europeans were digging into Apple IIs and Commodores, Russia just had crappy knockoff machines that didn't follow the behavior of the machines they were meant to be clones of, so anyone who stuck with it long enough basically taught themselves reverse engineering and the operation of "weird machines", how to operate in environments of undefined behavior. Thats just how I heard it, I'd like to learn more about their history since their space program was pretty one-to-one with ours, they definitely had computer engineers and programmers just as sophisticated as USA
Russians also have a world-class reputation in math and physics. At least they did in the 20th century. Now that experiments are so capital intensive, theoretical physics has become unfalsifiable silliness, I would assume that these people went into software. Although I could be wrong.
You can see some of this with Anonymous and the FBI these days, too, and NSO Group and Israel. I wouldn't be surprised if most countries do this, now.
/s
Same reason NK is. Same reason every country is. It is rather cheap in comparison. I mean even the largest super computers only cost a few hundred million. That's rather cheap when you consider other military adventures. One state of the art super computer is roughly the price of one (maybe 2) modern jets. The biggest cost is people. And you can do a ton of damage with hacking.
The costs are low, benefits are high.
[0] Summit was $350m, and a F22 costs $140m (per jet, not including development costs which is hundreds of billions)
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning...
It may be worth taking a look at the conditions that first gave rise to the eastern European malware scene in the late 80's, particularly in the Soviet Union and Bulgaria:
https://bontchev.nlcv.bas.bg/papers/factory.html
In particular, the presence of the necessary information and lack of economic opportunity gave rise to the original scene, and today that has transformed into an environment where the economic opportunity is directly tied to various for-profit black-hat activities (ransomware, identity theft and credit card fraud, etc.).
It is possible to link the relative lack of other economic opportunities to corruption, and that is a valid observation, but if black hat activities weren't profitable and relatively safe from retaliation (as long as you avoid Russian targets), the scene would still be typified by disaffected individuals rather than organized professional groups.
I'm not sure if creating a bunch of startups to soak up the extra talent would work, as the incentives to get a leg up on the competition via the Dark Arts (DDOS your competitor, spear-phishing their sales people, etc.) would still be pretty strong.
Russia has been doing asymmetric operations, e.g. buying the US republican party was a lot cheaper than winning a war against the US but effectively was almost as good. Helping far-right, anti-democracy, anti-EU, anti-NATO politicians worldwide has been destabilizing. Organizing both the racist and the anti-racist demonstration at the same place and time has kept people and governments distracted. They do a lot of mafia style things to bribe, intimidate and kill people into doing what they want. Turns out going after politicians is more effective than going after military officers because counter-intelligence is more hesitant to act when they suspect a politician of working with/for Russia.
Another thing is that the US military has been trained to be deathly afraid of appearing to have an opinion on politics, and this is both good and bad.
Russian defence spending is about 1/12 that of the US, but between having lower grade equipment, conscription and cheaper domestic prices they probably get 2x to 3x bang for their buck, at least on paper. As we can see in Ukraine, in practice much of the bang is over hyped, but it still gives them the brute muscle to do a lot of regional bullying.
The reason everyone thought they were a great military power is because the Soviets were presumably a great military power with a large army and a lot of hardware. Tanks, aircraft, artillery etc etc. And when it all fell apart the Russians inherited the lion's share.
Russia has lower costs in terms of personnel, lower wages and the like will somewhat lower the overhead of their military. But I think everyone overestimated how much that would help. See, raw materials costs the same around the world more or less. Titanium costs the same in Russia as it does in the US. Same for steel or any other resource that is on the global market. So Russia can only build a tank so much cheaper than Europe or the US can, but there is a floor to that price. On top of that they have been under sanctions for years for a lot of important things they can't make domestically like advanced semiconductors.
Then there is the fact Russia is a well known kleptocracy. They may very well have nominally lower personnel costs but that's likely balanced by much higher corruption.
And when you think of the sheer size of their military, all of those nuclear subs. All of those ICBMs, there are a lot of expensive things there that will easily take up large chunks of their budget.
I think much of the conventional side of the Russian military was left to rot and much of what we were shown pre-invasion was just that, a show. T14 functionally does not exist. Same with Su-57. They are cool show pieces but the real military are using 30+ year old hardware that has been piecemeal upgraded and not well maintained.
Russia has a big and advanced army. But the advanced army is not big. And the big army is not advanced.
But yeah it's all of the factors you mentioned.
The idea of “ransomware diplomacy” was probably just a side benefit.
I wonder what other similar professions are? Doctors and lawyers?
This combined with the announcement that software piracy is legal in Russia now perhaps suggests a new front is opening up again in cyber.
Its interesting that some tech firms are jumping on this, there isnt that much data sharing going on between tech firms, I know of email domains which will not work on some webforms or websites, but I think Europes higher levels of privacy and anti surveillance will be a disadvantage at this time.
All you need to do is convince one of their customers that you are speaking on behalf of the lawyer and get them to send the money to you instead.
I know this because I've been a victim of this attack.
Not sure how you'd monetize patient/doctor communications in the same way but I'm sure someone could think of something.
IIRC, there was a guy who was sending letters to the finance department of big tech companies and was claiming to be the CEO and that they had to make various payments to his accounts, and they were paying him without anyone at the company questioning this. He got away with millions before getting caught and he wasn't part of some crime group but some random guy sending letters from home, lol.
Maybe people should be trained in snail mail phishing detection too.
This attack would might be even more effective as snail mail actually because in my case, that's where the official notification of recipient account was supposed to be delivered (and was a couple days later). If you can sleuth the email comms to find an address, you'd probably send the fake info to both.
To protect yourself from this attack, always, always, always speak with person to get the account details to which you're sending a large amount of money. Preferably face to face.
Phishing campaigns? I'd assume those happen year round, war or not.
Am I wrong here? Missing something?
There is a lot more things happening that just phishing attacks though, from both sides. While Russia is attacking Ukrainian IT-infrastructure, Russian IT-infrastructure is getting hit by every other country at the moment.
Chrome and their DNS can be used for that.
What is that claim based on? I think they have alot of presence here in Europe. I doubt it would be economically to transfer too much data over the atlantic. Think of every Youtube video that is being watched. However, for services requiring central storage longer like e.g. email, I have no idea. I am not sure whether mailboxes have a home region.
Disclaimer: No insider knowledge here. Just what Iremember from tracouting years ago and trying to apply some common sense.
(work at Google, and on the CDN)
My novice POV is that you would expect russians to have a higher ratio of hackers to script kiddies as opposed to a country like Ghana who scams just as many that is mostly just script kiddies trading techniques on underground markets.
From what I've seen on OSINT Twitter, I think what you're missing is that Russia is not actually all that good at cyberwarfare in terms of hacking high security systems, or even securing their own systems. There was a story today about a high ranking general who was killed and it was picked up by the OSINT community due to Russians using unencrypted phones to communicate on the battlefield. Extremely rookie mistake. Russia's cyberwarfare strengths seem to end with simple DDoS attacks and propaganda bot nets on social networks.
There's a bunch of reasons I can think of than just Russia is weak about secure comms.
I think the actual intercept was real intelligence tapping the cell phone network and OSINT accounts just repeated it, but not sure.
Yes, maybe their actions will garner some sympathy among the public. But that mechanism is so generic, it just leads to the same conclusion, i. e. that companies are capable, interested, and legally free to act in the public interest.
What do you mean “left to” (or “response” for that matter)? Google chooses to do report this information (which is a mix of info gathered from other sources and it's own work to protect it's own critical infrastructure), no one leaves it to them.
The government does it's own publication of extensive cybersecurity information of this type, too; see, generally:
To spell it out further - My concern is google effectively becoming essential internet infrastructure here - the only reason i see for them to support such a process is a view that they can charge a for profit service for the same in the future (though may still remain free to some). In the past the internet has been a free, open, equitable and low cost platform. Googles interest as a commercial company is not to stop ddos altogether but to commodotise and profit from it. Is that the internet we are heading towards? Are there better alternatives?
Google has interests, just like you and I. Neither you, me or Google are “benevolent actors”.
I don’t at all mind when less-than-perfect entities help people — regardless of what else they do that is right or wrong.
Google, as a group of human beings, does both good and bad. To claim that it’s problematic to accept help from people who are members of a group of people who also do bad things means we would also have to deny help from e.g. well-meaning Russian citizens.
This is nihilism. Google is definitely not a benevolent actor, as we can determine by examining the actions of the company over the past many years.
I assume you also are malevolent, by your own admission.
But your insinuation, that no-one is a benevolent actor, is so far off the mark I struggle to imagine how you hold that opinion. Have you considered therapy?
Look at this from pure selfish Google perspective. With the large market penetration, Google earns some share of the total ad revenue of the Internet. Hence, it is in Google's selfish best interest to see the Internet grow and stay healthy.
We might have drastically different definitions of "healthy".
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30528022
The author of the post, which was about marks on Google Maps, determined that the marks were innocuous.
Really nice that they're doing that. I had noticed Liveuamap giving lots of 5* error codes earlier in the invasion, for obvious reasons, but now it looks like it works pretty well. Again, good job from the people of Google (I usually am very critic about them).
It was on the frontpage the other day when Elon Musk gave UKR access to Starlink.
At most we're involved in tangential economic affairs, like cutting off the payment infrastructure. Topics like that do seem to be getting about the right amount of attention here, a thread or two per day.
"Off-Topic: Most stories about politics, or crime, or sports, unless they're evidence of some interesting new phenomenon. Videos of pratfalls or disasters, or cute animal pictures. If they'd cover it on TV news, it's probably off-topic."
It's not unusual for top breaking stories to get flagged off the HN front page, simply because they're top stories that are broadly covered in the mainstream media.
Now, niche responses to ongoing current events (like the InfoSec, supply chain, or technical aspects of the Ukraine invasion) are another matter, and I've seen several of them on the HN front page recently.
Here are a few I posted that made it to the front page:
* Russia's top bank quits Europe due to sanctions: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30528503
* Russia Makes Calling Ukraine War an 'Invasion' a Criminal Offense: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30556430
* Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30568557
* Russia to restrict Facebook access for 'censoring' its media: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30469237
I know there have been many others. You could also try searching for ‘Ukraine’: https://hn.algolia.com/?q=ukraine or ‘Russia’: https://hn.algolia.com/?q=russia
[1] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=pastMonth&page=0&prefix=fa...
I hate to be the “you’re holding it wrong” guy, but...
Like most major, general-interest news, it doesn't make the front page or, if it does, it doesn't stay very long.
But if you check /newcomments, it's been a continuously active discussion. And an absolute majority of current stories on /new relate to the conflict in one way or another.
HN isn't “awkwardly silent” on the ongoing conflict.
It's invaluable for helping me follow this one specific area.
Edit: Also, I would like to say that the idea that 'every place on the Internet has to address every major event' is not really great for anybody who works in a related area. Think of political issues taking over hobby subreddits: I'm literally a civics educator, it's not super fun for me to log in to talk about video games and get greeted with 'if you don't agree with VERY REDUCTIVE BASIC 101 POSITION/don't want to see discussion in these spaces, you're terrible.' I put in almost 40 hours a week and do more than you do, random (likely 16-20 year old) Reddit mod. I don't need your lectures, I need to see crazy ways to break video games.
Like no. It's just that it's like being a math teacher and logging in to see people sharing (often wrong) math test answers in your beer group. You need a break for your own mental health.
I'm starting to get really concerned for the overall mental health of the journalist class + political staffers. The ability to step away from the pressure cooker is integral to maintaining your stability.
There have been multiple times when I've logged into my social media (or my regular media feeds) and felt nauseated. I can just see all the fingerprints everywhere, pushing us this way and that, and I have also seen the effect that it has had on my loved ones over the past 7 years. It's like everything now is covered with this disgusting, vampiric slime that prevents you from making genuine connections with others.
But I cannot move the ocean with a thimble.
But I share your curiosity on the seeming lack of discussion, or on another level, organisation. I feel disturbed by Russia indiscriminately murdering people, and threatening the end of civilisation, all conducted with gleeful mendacity. They have also shut off a large proportion of global food supply which developing nations rely on. I feel I should be doing something about it, but I don’t know what to do.
But in the end, HN is just a bunch of people on the internet.
OSINT on twitter yields some finer news
I'm asking people around for more serious chat groups but nothing comes up
frankly the amount of noise and fog of war is still high.. whatever we say is of low importance and value
HN is something that I read for a very specific subset of information.
I don't find this to be that strange.