Ukraine vs Russia certainly favored Russia, but realistically what does Russia have to show for it? They hold some highways and chernobyl? Maybe a few small things but they have spent what? $100 billion so far? Thats not even trying to account for sanctions at all.

Taking chernobyl was idiotic. Every solider they have defending it is getting fatal doses of radiation. The fighting and movement through the area is killing belarus. Ukraine knew not to defend it.

Lets say Russian military is as awesome as their rep suggests... they are getting absolutely wrecked. By a bunch of civilians?

I dont underestimate the russians, but it suggests the spetsnaz are being routed by someone else who are simply better. Where are the seals, rangers, and dragoons? Massive proxy war explains why the russians are being wrecked.

In fact look at the amount of support... general mobilization + this much support? They are the most supplied and motivated freedom fighters in the world.

Its a completely unwinnable war for russia and only a matter of time their troops make a huge accident and cross the wrong line.