Mind you, I don't disagree. I think you'd have to be a little ridiculous to own both a Fire and an iPad, and a 10inch Fire is likely inevitable in a couple of years. On the other hand, I'm about to buy the old Kindle and am aiming to maybe purchase an iPad3 down the road.
I love this because it gives Apple competition. Finally, a viable tablet competitor.
Amazon's not position the Fire as a computer replacement, and they're not really providing the components necessary to use it that way. Apple clearly views the iPad as a a laptop alternative for either ultra mobile, or casual, users.
iPad 3G usage is a whole different thing.
If they want to make the iPad a laptop killer, they first need to make it more like Asus's Transformer, with a keyboard dock, and second, they need to get more apps on iOS that can replace people's need for Windows apps.
Not only does Apple actually make a keyboard dock: http://store.apple.com/us/product/MC533LL/B?fnode=MTc0MjU4Nj... but the iPad can also connect to a Bluetooth keyboard, which I've actually used in the past.
"and second, they need to get more apps on iOS that can replace people's need for Windows apps."
They've obviously released some with the iWork suite. There's also simple text editors (and more sophisticated ones, but I'm not a fan). I can easily see the iPad as a laptop killer for some.
These already exist from Zagg and Logitech.
>they need to get more apps on iOS that can replace people's need for Windows apps
This takes time. Hardware and software will progress to allow this.
I don't think the iPad is that much more a real laptop replacement than the Fire. I think people bill it as one to themselves to help justify paying for an iPad.
Anecdotally most people I know with iPads have stopped using laptops outright. Disclaimer here that the majority of owners are older.
The interesting thing to see is how the Silk browser addresses the issue of terrible web experience on small screens.
In fact, there is a good reason that it would be the other way around--the iPad requires a computer but the Fire does not. Open an iPad up new in box and you'll need to find a copy of iTunes to use it. The system requirements for the Fire? "None, because it's wireless and doesn't require a computer."
The tethering is a thing off the past as of next week, its a legacy thing that was left over due to the evolution of the product range.
It will also appear smaller. Much smaller. And the Fire requires Amazon. So instead of being tied to a computer you are tied to a website.
may not be true for long
It's a subset of computing. I have my main work laptop, which I'm not going to take camping or up to the cottage. In this space, a tablet is perfect but we used to settle for a "meh laptop".
I also really needed a keyboard, but that's not even the main issue.
Well, considering the iPad lacks a keyboard, I'd say that's a pretty big issue at least.
>for my parents.
PERSONALLY, I would happily pay the premium if it means I never have to field a support call ever again.
Tradeoffs! Also your parents might not appreciate playing games or watching movies on the couch as much as other people might, yadda yadda.
I chose not to go that route because I wanted more power and storage. But it was definitely under consideration.
I'm a developer and the last thing I want when i'm relaxing on the couch, on a trip, etc. is a laptop that gets hot, has a tiny screen, and has a horrible form factor for consuming the tubes. The Fire is a credible alternative for most of that with the possible exception of casual gaming (which i love to do).
I think "laptop replacement" isn't talking about me and you, it's talking about my mom who spends all her time on facebook or email and casual games and doesn't do a whole lot of other things.
I can use google docs on my iPad, I can type emails, I can consume. That's about all 80% of home computer users need generally, so that's why it's a laptop replacement. Not sure you'll have a lot of luck making a presentation on a Fire or updating a spreadsheet, but those things are doable on an ipad even if they are a little cumbersome. (80% obviously made up!)
Anecdotal, yes, but compelling in that those it's a replacement solution for have been strongest in their iPad evangelism.
Newegg offers 127 netbooks.
Newegg offers 2 netbooks with a screen under 9 inches, 1 with a screen under 8 inches.
For example, I can perfectly imagine (and there are many cases of this) a college student passing up on buying a laptop for class and opt for an iPad with a bluetooth keyboard instead. In this scenario, this setup can effectively replace a computer for most students most of the time.
However, I don't see how a kindle fire can fit into that context.
Presumably typing on a seven-inch tablet is reminiscent of typing on the iPad in portrait mode. Which is annoying. To the point where I'd rather type on the iPhone, where at least I can reach everything with thumbs alone.
Aren't these the people who want the bigger screens, better graphics, cameras, longer battery life? I guess there's price but that didn't seem to be the argument you were making.
I agree with your larger sentiment, the Fire should be a laptop replacement for some people. Heck I think the smartphone is a laptop replacement for some (smaller amount of) people. I guess Gruber is arguing that fire-laptop group to be a rounding error. I don't have any confidence either way.
There's very little reason why the Kindle Fire won't be a strong iPad competitor. Tablets are primarily used for browsing, reading, and casual gaming. It seems like Kindle Fire will succeed in hitting each one of those bullet points.
Leave it to HN to zero in on the one critical thing he says and blow it up as HUGE BIAS TYPICAL GRUBER FANBOY.
That's not terribly complimentary when you boil it down. My take is that the Fire, keeping in mind this is a 1st gen product too, is a quite suitable iPad competitor head-to-head. It will provide a high-quality browsing experience similar or superior to the iPad and it will provide a high-quality e-book reading experience similar or superior to the iPad. The Fire's lack of dependence on any sort of syncing with a PC is also a point where the experience is outright superior. The biggest difference is the size and perhaps the hardware / performance / efficiency, personally I don't think there's an objective reason to pick one or the other as obviously superior in this category. Perhaps an 11" screen is vastly preferred to a 7" screen, perhaps both are suitable, perhaps the 7" is more preferred, I don't know, and it's too soon to tell how well the Fire will stack up against the iPad performance wise. The other big difference is the app/game ecosystem. The iPad definitely has a head start and there are plenty of popular games and apps that are iOS only at the moment, but to be honest I don't think that network effect is big enough to drive the market a whole hell of a lot at the moment, especially in the face of a $300 premium on the iPad. The Fire doesn't have 3G, but it remains to be seen how important that is.
Overall, I think the Kindle Fire is a pretty strong competitor to the iPad, regardless of price. As I said, I think many people will find it to be a decent laptop replacement. Moreover, I think over the next year or so there are going to be a lot of moments where people who bought Kindle Fire's at or near launch will be having experiences that will make a lot of iPad 2 owners jealous.
This is nonsense. It's a 21 paragraph, 1500 word piece and he spends exactly one on "laptop replacement", you're clearly the one hung up on those two sentences.
"He tries to place the iPad and the Fire as distinctly different products serving distinctly different market segments"
No he says they're attacking the market from different ends. Consumers in the middle would clearly have to choose between one or the other. That's distinctly different :p from what you're saying.
"That's not terribly complimentary when you boil it down."
Did you read the other 20 paragraphs? The article on the whole is very complimentary of Amazon's effort, his experience with the e-ink Kindle, even the ads (a lot of people seem up in arms that Amazon's keynote prices are for the ad-supported versions, compare Marco.org).
Yes he dresses it up with a lot of really nice sounding verbiage, but at the end of the day this is a "well, she's really good at {math,sports,engineering}... for a girl" sort of backhanded compliment. It's like saying that the Model T is a really, really nice car, almost as good as a Hispano-Suiza... but it's not a horse replacement.
The iPad has an SDK and app store. The Kindle has an SDK that's been in closed beta for something like two years and a bookstore that also happens to sell apps from a handful of companies.