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Comment by henning | Hacker News Reader

Restating your claim is not an argument, even if you tack on that it is "inevitable" without any evidence or actual argument to support that claim.

The answer to future shitty software that sucks ass is to use or write different software. I understand that lots of companies use Outlook/Exchange and won't switch anytime soon.

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I think you meant to reply in thread to me since I was the only commenter that said “inevitable” before your post. That being said, I said this was the inevitable state of full decentralization, not that full decentralization was an inevitability. I cannot speak to how the market will ultimately decide on this topic, but I can build towards it as I believe it to be an ideal state in that the computing power of the world is currently sub-optimally used and reaching an equilibrium would be beneficial overall.

The word "inevitable" is from the Longbet prediction itself

> "... In five years, it will be metered by the nanosecond to end users. This is not only predictable, but inevitable."

And that's the extent of the rationale for the prediction. The right thing to do when people insist their unfounded conclusions are "inevitable" is to take their money, but that's not an option here (the Long Now foundation keeps what they make on investing any "bet" for the duration, and the capital is paid to a charity of the winner's choice).

Fair, I missed the word inevitable in their prediction. I do personally believe it to be an inevitability, hence my investing my free time, energy and money into being a part of shaping that future. Ultimately any prediction in technology is defined by the whim of the market, so either my belief is correct and I can help in creating that future in a fairer way than some hyper-PaaS which does not impart an ability to earn or be an active part of that market segment (a future where AWS _is_ the core of computing is a terrifying future to me), or I am wrong, but the cryptography and distributed computing research I'm investing my time into will have beneficial uses regardless.

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