That’s very close to the point made by this blog article, which was posted here yesterday:
https://lt3000.blogspot.com/2022/01/us-vs-russia-geopolitics...
https://lt3000.blogspot.com/2022/01/us-vs-russia-geopolitics...
Given that it's now obvious that Russia in fact has been planning an invasion of the Ukraine, for months, which furthermore undermines the author's later claim that there was some peaceful concession that Putin would've accepted... I'm not sure why I should take this author's argument seriously. They seem naive and under informed.