‘Normalcy bias, or normality bias, is a cognitive bias which leads people to disbelieve or minimize threat warnings’
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
We saw this at the start of the pandemic too.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
We saw this at the start of the pandemic too.
"For example, consider a narrow river valley below a high dam, such that if the dam burst, the resulting flood of water would drown people for a con- siderable distance downstream. When attitude pollsters ask people down- stream of the dam how concerned they are about the dam's bursting, it's not surprising that fear of a dam burst is lowest far downstream, and increases among residents increasingly close to the dam. Surprisingly, though, after you get to just a few miles below the dam, where fear of the dam's breaking is found to be highest, the concern then falls off to zero as you approach closer to the dam! That is, the people living immediately under the dam, the ones most certain to be drowned in a dam burst, profess unconcern. That's because of psychological denial: the only way of preserving one's sanity while looking up every day at the dam is to deny the possibility that it could burst. Although psychological denial is a phenomenon well established in individual psychology, it seems likely to apply to group psychology as well."
"Hindsight bias, also known as the knew-it-all-along phenomenon, is the common tendency for people to perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias
No I do not appreciate it that the comments under this thread all expecting civilians to be well prepared for escalation of war.