The high level of individual gun ownership in the US makes a coup a very risky proposition.
Such a military force would be facing a very well armed citizen-led guerilla response.
Given the amount of private gun ownership in the US, holding on to power after a coup would prove a rather difficult proposition.
As well-armed as the citizenry may be, the military is infinitely more so - they have, you know, tanks and planes and smart bombs - and in this fantasy civil war-esque scenario I don’t think the junta would be shy about exploiting that advantage.
Remove the part where it's easy to get things Stateside, and I assure you, a U.S. military coup/junta will be fighting a two sided war as well. Both internal from the populace, and external from former Allies who in no way, shape, or form are going to sit idly by and be threatened by a militaristic U.S. Armed Forces that's even remotely controversial enough to even be considered a coup by the populace.
People forget: The Army Sabotage Manual is public domain.
The military knows exactly the hell it will be entrenched in if it ever goes against the public's wishes. They literally wrote the book.
The US military problem would be that it has to subdue a population that has been socialized to resist (to the point that it already birthed paramilitary during the previous democracy) and constitutes the replacements for that military (and the industries necessary for supply) for coming generations. Hell, once it had a democracy the first time, it still went to civil war. Thinking about the short term doesn't get you much.
Predator drones, nukes, etc won't solve the problems that couldnt be solved in a foreign land. Domestically it would be harder and longer fought.
For example, let's say that the military made a deal with <insert the most extreme sub-faction of your least favorite party here>. Then they'd have people to install into the newly vacated positions of civilian economic administration, and in that, they'd have a way to motivate that faction to join them and support their legitimacy.
The entire public’s wishes, yes. Now consider what would have happened if the military leadership hadn’t resisted the call to join the January 6th insurrection — it’s much easier to imagine something like 90s Serbia where a substantial fraction of the population hopped up on propaganda supports the military efforts and will keep their neighbors from forming an effective resistance.
Meanwhile improvised bombs seem to be far more important to and effective for a modern insurgency than firearms.
Add in that it sure seems to be more common to read about private militias aiding an authoritarian coup than successfully resisting it and I think the pro-widespread-individual-firearm-ownership faction has an uphill battle just to demonstrate that the practice is a wash, let alone beneficial to the preservation of liberty and democracy.
There are a few cases of private arms being used in anti-corruption "wars" or stand-offs in the US, but at least as many in which they're used for essentially the opposite purpose (supporting anti-liberty, and especially racist, policies and actions). In any case, the national guard stepping in tends to end these in a hurry.
The notion that the 2nd amendment is vital to the preservation of liberty and democracy in 2022 seems to be dubious at best. I'm not in favor of a blanket gun ban but I think that particular argument in favor of gun rights—which seems to be what anti-gun-regulation folks fall back on very quickly, when challenged, which makes sense as it's the reason given in founders' writings and, arguably, in the constitution—is, at best, pretty weak.
Kurds in Northern Syria.
>US military is occupying
US military has presence and has engaged in (importantly) air support, but to call it "occupying" all the Kurdish territory is an intentional I think misrepresentation. It's hilarious that anyone would call it "occupying" when the boots on the ground were minimal to almost non-existent. I really don't need to go off these ignorant statements when I bore witness to what was happening with my own eyes, but I'm sure you know more from whatever you read on the internet.
Yes, [ although I suppose technically they are maybe not civilians once they pick up arms in a war. ]
> I pointed out how that is nonsense because they are being backed operationally by the most powerful military on the planet.
You have no fucking idea what you're talking about, and I have the memory burned in of many now dead faces in my mind of those who died with almost no "backed operationally" presence by the US. Imagine literally being told by some dude on the internet that my personal experience defending Kurds from ISIS is wrong because he thinks based on what he read on the internet that we were 'occupied' by the US. You can say whatever you like, I'm sure it will stroke your own ego to believe that.
I can recall sitting in a border town with literal children one building over sleeping with guns, hoping they would survive. A month later I found out several of them were dead. I personally viewed this town and there was not a single US soldier there, barely enough provisions to survive, and those defending themselves had essentially no US weapons.
The effort of the Kurds fighting Syrian government and ISIS is critical to their defense; the US contribution standing on its own is completely incapable of maintaining Kurdish Syria. The boots on the ground is by far Kurds (not part of Syrian gov) themselves, with arms largely either coming from those privately stashed or brought in via militia. In a number of attacks on Kurdish territory such as in Kobani, essentially anyone with arms engaged in defense with whatever they had.
Unless enough citizens were on the side of the coup. I don't know why no one ever seems to acknowledge that as a possibility, especially after Jan. 6. Gun owners are just as driven by politics and ideology as anyone else.
Plus just because you have a gun in a safe and maybe sometimes shoot watermelons in the backyard with it doesn't mean you'll be effective in guerilla warfare against an actual military. I know Americans like to bring up Afghanistan and Vietnam as examples of guerilla warfare succeeding against the US, but fighters in both cases still went through training that would break the average American gun owner.
That was kinda the whole point of the revolutionary war. #DemocracySpeaksManyLanguages