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Comment by gilbetron | Hacker News Reader

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gilbetron·

Which looks to be between 0.025%-0.4% putting these two sites together, depending on the state:

https://www.aap.org/en/pages/2019-novel-coronavirus-covid-19...

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7036e2.htm

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then why are all ICU at 100% capacity right now ?

The odds of getting put into the ICU might be low, but the total number of cases is extremely high. The alpha variant peaked at 300,000 cases/day with a highest 7-day average of 260,000 cases in the USA. Omicron has hit over 1 million cases in a day with a 7-day average of 900,000.

Roll a 100-sided die enough times, and eventually you will get a LOT of ones.

Are people really this misinformed? Get a reality check and stop believing the clickbait. There is zero chance that 100% of ICUs are at 100% capacity.

Stop spreading misinformation. Zero states are reporting 100% utilization of ICU or inpatient beds. Not even close. Most are reporting under 80% utilization currently.

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/hospitalization-7-day-trend

What’s the base rate for ICU utilization? In the US, with certificates of need, I’d expect the steady state value to be around 60%.

In Quebec where I am, from 03-01 to 07-01 average occupancy rate was above 104% and is above 94% most of the time.

It's an average, some are 55% some are 146%

Source: https://www.indexsante.ca/urgences/

All the ICUs are not at 100% right now.

I don't think ICU's are 100% full. There's also a double whammy where hospitals are reducing beds because of staffing shortages directly caused by Omicron infections.

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