> * Stocks continue to rise as a function of inflation.
> * Full self drivering cars are no closer.
> * Reddit continues to decline in quality but no clear alternative emerges.
> * Large chance of abnormal oil price volatility.
Seems like this guy got a lot of them right
Didn't the US inflation rate went up to around 6% during 2021? Even though that's quite the hike, I wouldn't classify 6% or even 7% as "high single digits/low double digits", unless the definition of "high single digits" is now "greater than 5%"
> * Stocks continue to rise as a function of inflation.
The S&P500 continued to grow constantly as it has been doing for the past decade.
> * Full self drivering cars are no closer.
Is this really a prediction?
> * Reddit continues to decline in quality but no clear alternative emerges.
Is reddit really in decline, though? Doesn't seem like it. In fact, arguably things improved a lot in the past year.
> * Large chance of abnormal oil price volatility.
Does this actually mean anything? Also, there was a price drop at the start of the year due to a drop in demand (lockdowns and all) and since then price returned to the same point it was last year. Doesn't sound like it's either abnormal or volatile.
That depends on your quality metrics, and, of course, personal taste. To me, the continuous branching off of more and more arcane subreddits means two things:
- Your own voice bears more weight as the new arena is smaller at its inception
- The overall quality of discussions is getting blander as not every tiny niche sub can keep ace thinkers
So it appears that you can't have it both ways - fostering a great discussion atmosphere where, at the same time, every voice will be equally considered.
>Doesn't sound like it's either abnormal or volatile.
The WTI price drop was the 3rd largest in 20 years and briefly saw prices return to a level from 18 years ago. I couldn't have predicted that.
If it just dropped slowly or went up slowly the volatility would be low