>but would you have guessed in advance that they would succeed like they have?
Not guessed but projected. I was called an idiot, or son of bitch liar when I suggested its Geekbench score along with all other performance metric it was faster with A12. Only to be met with Intel Fan boys saying Geekbench is not reliable because of a Linus' comment ( That was on Geekbench 3 in case you are wondering, he is fine with GB4 ).
x86-based products look obsolete because Intel is now one and half node behind, and nearly 2 generation ( or three years ) of uArch behind their original schedule. And TSMC will officially leap ahead of Intel no later than 2020. I make that projection in 2014. That was before 99% of the internet even knew what TSMC was.
From 2011 to 2019. Dumb, stupid, idiot, Intel will get their 10nm done. Intel will have capacity expansion. You dont think the analyst would notice their lack of CapEx? Those were the words of many including senior analyst, two ex Intel engineers, current senior editor. It was only starting in 2020 everything was proven to be correct. ( And they shall remain nameless. But the records are still on certain forums and twitter )
It was painfully obvious. And yet somehow most want to believe the mainstream media narrative rather than actually think and analyse it themselves.