That assumes that the only way we could get information is by whatever China reports.
In reality there are a large number of people from Western countries who spend a large amount of time in China and regularly interact with the population. There are business people there to deal with Chinese factories that make their good. Many Western companies have offices in China. There are diplomatic offices [1].
That puts a limit on how much China can successfully downplay mass events like a pandemic that affect the population at large because there are too many independent observers interacting with the population with means of communication to outside of China that China cannot block or censure.
[1] The US has an embassy in Beijing as do 172 other countries, and consulates in Guangzhou, Shanghai, Shenyang, and Wuhan. Most of the biggest EU countries and Japan and South Korea also have several consulates there.
Unfortunately it seems to have completely gone the other way in many parts of the USA and Canada thanks to politicization.
There are no hard lock-downs in a face-dictatorship. There is a hard lockd-down show. Some doors are welded shut for tv-cameras. Covid Quotas are handed out to doctors and the rest becomes pneumonia.
Similar: Before the iron-curtain fell, sovjet propaganda claimed they were economically the more successful side. This did not hold up - at all.
State propaganda produces the illusion of working measures, while the normal citizen just bribes or work otherwise around the restrictions. What you see publicized by the state media to youtube or face-book is not real or reality.
Its a "strong" government fantasia, produced by the people who run it. There are no "free" opinions by mainland citizens on the web.