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Government jobs care about certs a lot, but I don't think most big tech companies do.

There's a lot of big boring companies that require certs. Their hiring practices may change but it's not a given.

If the cert doesn't exist (cert equivalent to a decade+ of experience in robotics) then how can a company care about it?

They care about something that's easily testable, binary, and hard to link to discrimination. So if there's no cert you just don't get hired.