Add to that the fact HFT are profitable and they must therefore provide negative economic value. Either the seller or the buyer is failing to capture value.
Add to that the fact HFT are profitable and they must therefore provide negative economic value. Either the seller or the buyer is failing to capture value.
Your understanding of HFT is wrong as well. It's not all low latency arbitrage. It's also execution finesse, risk management and ML-heavy. HFT firms will still be extremely active under this new market structure.
“Very short time-frames for establishing and liquidating positions.” strait from the SEC: https://www.sec.gov/marketstructure/research/hft_lit_review_...
Now it’s true an individual stock may only see 5 trades per day from a HFT algo, but theirs more than just one stock. The larger pool of money sitting around waiting for those 5 trades the lower your ROI. So, the obvious strategy is to reuse the same pool of money to back multiple different strategies.
Anyway my point is that it's wrong to think that HFT are going out of business with this change because it's a fundamental misunderstanding of HFT. There's almost always an ML component and always an execution component and these two skills are going to be critical to profiting off the new market structure. Citadel, Jump, Tower, you name it. I promise you they will be all over this new structure.
I completely agree, and they are going to use the same tools. The question is if this change is a net positive trade for the economy, and that I don’t know but I have heard reasonable arguments in favor.
The slower a market maker is, the more risk they take on when they quote, because they are more likely to be caught by market moves - less likely to cancel their quote when the market starts moving, less likely to be able to hedge if they get filled at the start of a move. To make up for that risk, they have to earn more per trade. The only way to do that is to quote a wider spread [1]. That means that real money participants end up paying more when they cross that spread.
The value captured by HFTs has not come from real money participants, but from other, slower, market makers, and they have shared that value with real money participants.
[1] Or to demand a bigger stipend, or steeper maker-taker pricing, from the exchange, either of which means bigger fees for other participants.