For example you can pre-instatiate the most common type parameters and just stuck those instantiations into a binary library.
Also if you have a nice C++ compiler environment like Visual C++, you can even do edit-and-continue for many kinds of changes, and VS 2022 will double down on that capability.
Whatever the solution Rust comes up with I think will look at the practical component so as to actually see adoption. It seems like the Rust team is very good at studying the mistakes other languages make in their approaches to a problem and finding the right fit within the language/targeted domain.
With regards to your specific experience, I don't know that I'd say that Clearcase, HP-UX or aCC are main-stream professional C++ development environments. I think for that you're really looking at clang, gcc, & msvc with icc being a distant fourth that has itself moved to clang recently. The primary target OS would either be server Linux, Android, macOS, iOS with maybe FreeBSD picking up the slack. HP-UX has a niche but it's a small niche comparatively in terms of $ spent on developers in that ecosystem. In terms of source control, everyone is mostly on git or mercurial. Anyone not just refuses to get with the times because they have bought into their existing tool expertise but don't know how to adapt.
The compile time costs for the error handling crates is due to increase in build graph size, not due to the cost of running the error handling proc macros or the cost of compiling the code generated from them. For anything but a small project, that increase in graph size is probably not a big deal (and likely the project is already using much of the same deps). This cost does not increase as a project gets larger.
serde also probably has the build graph size problem, but the bigger problem is the cost generating and compiling the generated code. This cost tends to increase as a project gets larger.