It is like if there is a crash it is going to be very bad. But it is also true that your chances to have a crash in a car is just higher.
No exploding coal plant will render a whole region unlivable for >30 years. Both happened at Tschernobyl and Fukushima.
According to this [1], for every death caused by nuclear power, 350 people die because of coal power.
Note that most of these people died as a consequence of Chernobyl accident (~4000 vs ~500), so by current standards Nuclear Power is probably even safer.
The issue with nuclear is that deaths are concentrated in a few "big" accidents, that have much more visibility and leave a lasting impressions, thus scaring the population much more. (This is not unique to nuclear power though, something similar happens with plane vs car travel: the latter causes generally more deaths, but plan accidents are more newsworthy).
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-from-energy-p...
That’s pretty nasty, I’d rather be close to a nuclear power plant.
Unlivable for humans. The exclusion zone around Chernobyl became a de facto wild-life sanctuary. To the extent that some environmentalists now argue benefits of officially maintaining it as one indefinitely. Human supporting activities such as farming, mining and habitat expansion often come at a serious cost to local ecosystems. Nature ends up flourishing over time in humans excluded regions exactly because they are unlivable for > 30 years.
As pointed out by others, one effect of burning coal is the concentration of its radioactive elements in fly ash. And since less care is taken, more radioactive material ends up released into the environment by coal plants than nuclear plants. It's worth pointing out however, when contrasted with background, risks from exposure to radioactivity is not significantly raised by living near coal plants. The real killer from coal is pollution. Having said that, accumulation of fly ash over time could be a concern, especially wherever it gathered under non-uniform dispersal. As far as I know, this is yet to be shown.
Perhaps a stronger example of society's inconsistent reasoning about radioactivity exposure is inhalation of tobacco smoke. It's curious that information on the significant amounts of radioactive material in tobacco smoke did not percolate widely and probably would not have changed habits anyway, given its known carcinogenic nature was already not enough to do so.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-from-energy-p...
The reverse of your analogy would be if cigarettes were actually good for you but we banned them because two people died of lung cancer.
[1] https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/sgr/history/inde...
Truly, it's new built nuclear compared compared to renewables, storage and long-distance distance transmission. Spatial and temporal arbitrage of energy.
https://www.cleanenergywire.org/sites/default/files/styles/g...
You can get life insurance/death benefits as a mercenary or even as a centarian. It will be expensive because of the high risk of payout but you can get it. Because while it is probable that you will cack it from being so damn old/being a combatant in unstable regions with lesser support it is extremely unlikely every mercenary or centarian they have insured will die at once.
> The study proves for the first time the years of market distortion in favor of nuclear energy and at the expense of the competition, said Uwe Leprich from the Saarbrücken University of Technology and Economics. "The study also shows that if you look at the economy from a regulatory perspective, nuclear energy is not competitive."
https://www.manager-magazin.de/finanzen/versicherungen/a-761...
I would just do one thing myself: I would make mandatory to label products with the pollution manufacturing process: this used coal, this used nuclear, this used blabla. This is the amount of waste produced to the environment. And let people choose, with the appropriate information.
In that setup, if nuclears are not worth, they would disappear by themselves.
I think a lot of half-paying-attention people confused the reactor and the tsunami. Of course the news coverage and in-hindsight-unnecessary evacuation didn't help either.
For example: https://www.cnsc-ccsn.gc.ca/eng/resources/fukushima/canada-i...
Your average oil spill does 100x more damage to the ecosystem and economy than fukushima
I'm trying to compromise a bit with the "at least"s :)
And Fukushima is still not under control.
https://apnews.com/article/world-news-japan-tsunamis-5a5a70d...
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-nuclear-idUSKCN11D0...
I think the 6-7x 9/11 is the foundation of pain, even if nuclear is an extra salient cherry on top.
I don't know. For who lived near the plant and escaped, it's definitely true. But for others, Lost decades are serious than the accident.
> So is there a guarantee
A guarantee doesn't mean that the thing being guaranteed won't happen. A guarantee is a promise to pay someone back - when, not if - the thing you promised doesn't work. Anyone who gives you a guarantee has already saved up enough money to pay you off when the thing fails. > that it is safe
Safe compared to what?People go insane about airline safety whenever one plane crashes, even though commercial passenger airplanes are 1000x safer than any other form of transportation. You could have a plane bombed, hijacked, whatever, every single day, for 10 years, and would still be 1000x safer than any other form of transport. People wouldn't think it was safe, though, because when it does fail, it fails spectacularly.
And that's the mentality of an anti-nuclear person. Who cares that the outcomes are almost always better? The one time it's not better is really scary, so I don't want it in my back yard.
That said, nuclear is pretty safe. I would live next door to a nuclear power plant, and if I did I would be likelier to die slipping in the shower.
You need safety against external threats e.g. a nuclear plant can be targeted during war or by terrorists
You need safety around illegal dumping https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioactive_waste#Illegal_dump...
Also, extremely centralized energy production creates political risks (coups, corruption, hiding mismanagement)
Nuclear proliferation risk.
Investment risk: solar keeps getting cheaper and nuclear has very long ROI that might grow indefinitely
>https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/business/article24874...
Look at how many coal ash spills there have been...and those come with nice forever things like mercury.
For the other points I'd say that I'd rather build solar to replace coal plants first before replacing nuclear plants.
Proliferation is not a binary 1 or 0.
> For the other points I'd say that I'd rather build solar to replace coal plants first before replacing nuclear plants.
That's a false dichotomy.
I think climate change poses a bigger existential risk than the nuclear proliferation risk from Germany continuing the nuclear energy production they're already doing.
> That's a false dichotomy.
Sure we can do both, but the reality is we're not doing both. The last time Germany closed its nuclear plants they were replaced by coal plants.
Three Miles Island happened years before Chernobyl and killed no one, because it wasn't a dodgy, duct-taped together soviet piece of junk.
In the last 30 years, the only nuclear power accident was Fukushima and again, caused just one victim. Fossil fuel depot fires have killed thousands more in that time.