It's been 16 years. Is the singularity any nearer? Is there any evidence that the singularity is any nearer?
So, how "near" was the singularity in 2005? How accurate was Kurzweil?
So, how "near" was the singularity in 2005? How accurate was Kurzweil?
And yes, there's evidence of incredible machine learning discoveries all around us. You'd have to be willfully blind not to see those. AlphaZero in Go & Chess, the protein folding miracles of Deepmind, all the amazing work being done today. The field is racing ahead. Human minds are good at seeing linear progression. Our brains aren't particularly good at exponential growth, which is what is happening in this field.
As far as I can tell for decades he's been consistently more right than his critics and often on issues that are a lot harder to get right than simple coin tosses.