> There's good reason to suspect that long-term COVID will be on the order of influenza or the common cold -- common and mild for most patients.

In slovenia, by some estimates of our expert group, half the country got infected by covid (~1mio), 4450 died, almost half of them in old age/nursing homes, and out of all that, only 4 were under 35yo, only one (out of those 5) under 25, and we count every death within 28days of infection as a covid death (even suicide or a car crash).

For a large percentage of the population, it already is common and mild.