Even with your numbers it puts a kid's chances of ending up hospitalized with covid at 1 in 128. Granted we're probably way under counting infections in that age group, but I'll still feel much better when my kid is vaccinated.
The relevant argument with kids and Delta is not about whether it happens to some people, it's whether the risk rates high enough to mobilize large scale, disruptive countermeasures.
I can only find data on deaths, not hospitalizations [1], but assuming the numbers are roughly proportional here are things that are more dangerous to kids than Delta:
- Drug ODs
- Car accidents
- Cancer
- Heart disease
- Drowning
- Suffocation
The posted numbers seem to imply that if 37k out of 100k kids had covid, 287 of them end up in the hospital. Does it not follow that if 100k out of 100k had covid that 775 kids would have been hospitalized?
> Granted we're probably way under counting infections in that age group
People get tested when they feel sick enough to be worried, there are many very minor and/or asymptomatic cases for which we won't have data. By using the positive case counts as the denominator you are using the most serious slice of cases to argue that coronavirus infections are serious.
It's definitely not exact to use the infection as the denominator, but I'd argue it's much closer than using the 100k as the denominator. I think I stand by my original post.
Like you, I can't wait until the vaccines are approved for under 12 children.