https://www.mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-covid-19/vaccine-trac...
We're rehashing all of the same arguments from 2020. The Southern States peak earlier in the year for respiratory viruses due to latitude:
So what's happening in the South now is a preview of what will happen in the Northern States, perhaps even worse since the vaccines will further drop in effectiveness due to time duration (hence the need for 'boosters').