They will instead contact the police and say "Person X has Y images that are on list Z," and let the police get a warrant based off that information and execute it to check for actual CSAM.
iCloud is encrypted, so that warrant is useless.
They need to unlock and search the device.
> iCloud content may include email, stored photos, documents, contacts, calendars, bookmarks, Safari Browsing History, Maps Search History, Messages and iOS device backups. iOS device backups may include photos and videos in the Camera Roll, device settings, app data, iMessage, Business Chat, SMS, and MMS messages and voicemail. All iCloud content data stored by Apple is encrypted at the location of the server. When third-party vendors are used to store data, Apple never gives them the encryption keys. Apple retains the encryption keys in its U.S. data centers. iCloud content, as it exists in the customer’s account, may be provided in response to a search warrant issued upon a showing of probable cause, or customer consent.
1. https://www.apple.com/legal/privacy/law-enforcement-guidelin...
They regularly are, and they regularly give up customer data in order to comply with subpeonas[1]. They give up customer data in response to government requests for 150,000 users/accounts a year[1].
Man that seems horrible. So you just have to trust the description is accurate? You’d think there’d at least be a “private viewing room” type thing (I get the obvious concern of not giving them a file to take home)
That said, I'm not willing to say it won't happen. There are too many law enforcement entities of wildly varying levels of professionalism, staffing, and technical sophistication. Someone innocent, somewhere, is likely to have a multi-year legal drama because their local PD got an email from Apple.
And we haven't even gotten to subjects like how some LEOs will happily plant evidence once they decide you're guilty.