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> it's not happening.

It's absolutely glacial, but IPv6 adoption has been steadily rising over the last 8 or so years. Unfortunately the increase has been linear rather than exponential.

That is, according to Google's stats of clients accessing their properties. Not a perfect snapshot of worldwide Internet users, but a pretty decent one. https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html

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Even a linear growth is fine. By 2030 there will be pretty much 100% adoption at this pace. There may even be a tipping point when places like India are so stretched for v4 addresses and v6 is so widespread where local sites go v6 only which triggers a much faster adoption rate on the consumer side.

This website says that the 100% will be reached by 2030, but only if you use the quadratic model:

https://www.vyncke.org/ipv6status/project.php?metric=p&timef...

If you use the linear model, growth is slower and the 100% will be reached by 2038.

Why not go to degree 3, which predicts we'll be back at 0% by 2028.

I mean, I don't have IPv6 at home (Verizon) and I don't have IPv6 at work (workstation or servers). It's frustrating.

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