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> Looking at Provincetown, it's far from obvious that this is what happened. It seems more likely that a lot of vaccinated people got the virus in close proximity to unvaccinated people, but the chain of transmission mostly stopped there.

That doesn't seem to be the case in Gibraltar. There is a ~100% vaccination rate there and an increased number of infections recently.

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Gibraltar has an open border with Spain, which is nowhere near fully vaccinated. They've had an uptick (a few hundred cases since April, though almost no deaths). It seems rational to think that most of those cases among the vaccinated were brought there by unvaccinated people from Spain, and are not running wild in vax-to-vax chains of transmission.

The only "news" pieces I could find about Gibraltar having some massive surge were from hardcore antivax websites - the top one was something called welovetrump.

I did not say there was a "massive surge" of cases in Gibraltar.

With regards to the open borders, most of the EEA has open borders, Gibraltar is not special in that regard.

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