As I understand the P(passing) through a second filter is related to the blue line here:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e2/Be...
Couldn't the passage through the first filter effect the polarization angle in such a way that it matches the blue line instead of the red line. One could devise a physical contraption to demonstrate this is possible by sending bar magnets through slits of magnets of the same charge. Any magnet oriented such that it's too close to a slit will reorient slightly. Visually...
https://ibb.co/gDnpqCb
That is, if both photons or magnets happen to pass through the first filter, their probability of both going through the second filter is boosted from the slight reorientation, and thus their outcome correlation will be boosted, which is what the blue line in the graph above shows.